PM predictions & odds

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Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

49%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$718K Liq.

42

Ends in 9 months

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

34%

December 31, 2026

$318K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

111

Ends in 9 months

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

11%

$437 Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

23%

December 31, 2026

$115K Vol.

$33.9K Liq.

32

Ends in 9 months

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

64%

$17.6K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (April 13 - 18)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (April 13 - 18)

54%

April 15

$107 Vol.

$868 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

54%

June

$220K Vol.

$50.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$88M Vol.

$16M today

$6M Liq.

2,035

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

17%

Spain

$624M Vol.

$15M today

$110M Liq.

578

Ends in 3 months

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

47%

Keiko Fujimori

$21M Vol.

$6M today

$3M Liq.

2,056

Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

47%

300-319

$10M Vol.

$4M today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in about 23 hours

F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

45%

George Russell

$100M Vol.

$4M today

$12M Liq.

148

Ends in 8 months

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

98%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$11M Vol.

$3M today

$43.3K Liq.

16

Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

37%

Finland

$84M Vol.

$3M today

$14M Liq.

333

Ends in about 1 month

Elon Musk # tweets April 11 - April 13, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 11 - April 13, 2026?

100%

115-139

$4M Vol.

$2M today

$581K Liq.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

94%

December 31

$39M Vol.

$2M today

$772K Liq.

1,964

Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?

20%

320-339

$5M Vol.

$2M today

$931K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

2%

April 10

$9M Vol.

$1M today

$140K Liq.

1

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

43%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$1M today

$225K Liq.

72

Ends in about 2 months

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Édouard Philippe

$38M Vol.

$988K today

$4M Liq.

393

Ends in about 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 4000 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.0B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 17% chance to Spain. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.