Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's consistent Truth Social posting volume of 12-17 per day on average, yielding tight odds between 80-99 posts (29.5%) and 100-119 (30.5%) for April 14-21, driven by his recent activity amid the Iran conflict. Over the prior week (April 7-14), he logged around 100-120 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts, spurred by escalatory rhetoric on the Strait of Hormuz, F-15 crew rescues, and ceasefire talks, including early April 13 updates. The race stays close due to variability tied to White House schedule and geopolitical developments; de-escalation via ongoing diplomacy could dip toward 80s, while fresh military actions or negotiations might push past 120.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated100-119 31%
80-99 30%
120-139 17%
60-79 5.5%
$27,231 Vol.
$27,231 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
2%
60-79
5%
80-99
30%
100-119
31%
120-139
17%
140-159
5%
160-179
4%
180-199
2%
200+
5%
100-119 31%
80-99 30%
120-139 17%
60-79 5.5%
$27,231 Vol.
$27,231 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
<20
$16,505 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$3,431 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,963 Vol.
2%
60-79
$1,209 Vol.
5%
80-99
$577 Vol.
30%
100-119
$230 Vol.
31%
120-139
$388 Vol.
17%
140-159
$188 Vol.
5%
160-179
$966 Vol.
4%
180-199
$293 Vol.
2%
200+
$1,482 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's consistent Truth Social posting volume of 12-17 per day on average, yielding tight odds between 80-99 posts (29.5%) and 100-119 (30.5%) for April 14-21, driven by his recent activity amid the Iran conflict. Over the prior week (April 7-14), he logged around 100-120 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts, spurred by escalatory rhetoric on the Strait of Hormuz, F-15 crew rescues, and ceasefire talks, including early April 13 updates. The race stays close due to variability tied to White House schedule and geopolitical developments; de-escalation via ongoing diplomacy could dip toward 80s, while fresh military actions or negotiations might push past 120.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$27,231End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's consistent Truth Social posting volume of 12-17 per day on average, yielding tight odds between 80-99 posts (29.5%) and 100-119 (30.5%) for April 14-21, driven by his recent activity amid the Iran conflict. Over the prior week (April 7-14), he logged around 100-120 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts, spurred by escalatory rhetoric on the Strait of Hormuz, F-15 crew rescues, and ceasefire talks, including early April 13 updates. The race stays close due to variability tied to White House schedule and geopolitical developments; de-escalation via ongoing diplomacy could dip toward 80s, while fresh military actions or negotiations might push past 120.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$27,231End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's consistent Truth Social posting volume of 12-17 per day on average, yielding tight odds between 80-99 posts (29.5%) and 100-119 (30.5%) for April 14-21, driven by his recent activity amid the Iran conflict. Over the prior week (April 7-14), he logged around 100-120 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts, spurred by escalatory rhetoric on the Strait of Hormuz, F-15 crew rescues, and ceasefire talks, including early April 13 updates. The race stays close due to variability tied to White House schedule and geopolitical developments; de-escalation via ongoing diplomacy could dip toward 80s, while fresh military actions or negotiations might push past 120.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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