Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 14-21, with the top three bins tightly matched at 13.5-14.5%, implying a daily pace of roughly 34-43 amid his variable posting habits. This positioning stems from the recent April 11-13 market resolving at 134 posts—equating to about 67 per day over two days—yet tempered by quieter historical weeks averaging 30-35 daily, as tracked by analytics sites like XTracker. Competitive dynamics hinge on Elon's responsiveness to viral moments, such as his latest replies on South African business demands, Hungary's election upset, and Tesla FSD rollout in Europe; a major Tesla earnings preview or SpaceX update could spike toward 300+, while lulls in controversy favor sub-260. Watch for political flare-ups or tech announcements as key swing factors before the April 21 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated240-259 15%
260-279 14%
280-299 14%
320-339 9.6%
$1,646,691 Vol.
$1,646,691 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200-219
4%
220-239
10%
240-259
15%
260-279
14%
280-299
14%
300-319
10%
320-339
10%
340-359
6%
360-379
7%
380-399
6%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
1%
240-259 15%
260-279 14%
280-299 14%
320-339 9.6%
$1,646,691 Vol.
$1,646,691 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200-219
4%
220-239
10%
240-259
15%
260-279
14%
280-299
14%
300-319
10%
320-339
10%
340-359
6%
360-379
7%
380-399
6%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 14-21, with the top three bins tightly matched at 13.5-14.5%, implying a daily pace of roughly 34-43 amid his variable posting habits. This positioning stems from the recent April 11-13 market resolving at 134 posts—equating to about 67 per day over two days—yet tempered by quieter historical weeks averaging 30-35 daily, as tracked by analytics sites like XTracker. Competitive dynamics hinge on Elon's responsiveness to viral moments, such as his latest replies on South African business demands, Hungary's election upset, and Tesla FSD rollout in Europe; a major Tesla earnings preview or SpaceX update could spike toward 300+, while lulls in controversy favor sub-260. Watch for political flare-ups or tech announcements as key swing factors before the April 21 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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