With 275 posts already tallied at 86% progress through April 13 in the April 7–14 window, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's total in the 320–339 range at 39.6% implied probability, reflecting his blistering recent pace of 67 posts per day averaged in the resolved April 11–13 market. This surge stems from heightened X engagement on South African racial policies, Tesla's FSD approval in the Netherlands, and reactions to Hungary's election upset, sustaining viral momentum amid global political buzz. The nearby 300–319 bin at 28.6% underscores a tight race, hinging on Musk's output through the April 14 noon ET close—traders note wild swings from "ELON IS BACK" fervor, but historical volatility warns of sudden lulls in his posting rhythm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated320-339 39.6%
300-319 29.3%
340-359 19.3%
360-379 6.8%
$9,473,877 Vol.
$9,473,877 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
260-279
<1%
280-299
2%
300-319
29%
320-339
40%
340-359
19%
360-379
7%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
320-339 39.6%
300-319 29.3%
340-359 19.3%
360-379 6.8%
$9,473,877 Vol.
$9,473,877 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
260-279
$719,698 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$650,457 Vol.
2%
300-319
$486,607 Vol.
29%
320-339
$326,003 Vol.
40%
340-359
$367,716 Vol.
19%
360-379
$348,838 Vol.
7%
380-399
$389,965 Vol.
2%
400-419
$412,917 Vol.
1%
420-439
$388,924 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$556,838 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$314,240 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$420,857 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$142,164 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$112,092 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$137,908 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$132,534 Vol.
<1%
580+
$239,778 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.With 275 posts already tallied at 86% progress through April 13 in the April 7–14 window, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's total in the 320–339 range at 39.6% implied probability, reflecting his blistering recent pace of 67 posts per day averaged in the resolved April 11–13 market. This surge stems from heightened X engagement on South African racial policies, Tesla's FSD approval in the Netherlands, and reactions to Hungary's election upset, sustaining viral momentum amid global political buzz. The nearby 300–319 bin at 28.6% underscores a tight race, hinging on Musk's output through the April 14 noon ET close—traders note wild swings from "ELON IS BACK" fervor, but historical volatility warns of sudden lulls in his posting rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$9,473,877End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.With 275 posts already tallied at 86% progress through April 13 in the April 7–14 window, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's total in the 320–339 range at 39.6% implied probability, reflecting his blistering recent pace of 67 posts per day averaged in the resolved April 11–13 market. This surge stems from heightened X engagement on South African racial policies, Tesla's FSD approval in the Netherlands, and reactions to Hungary's election upset, sustaining viral momentum amid global political buzz. The nearby 300–319 bin at 28.6% underscores a tight race, hinging on Musk's output through the April 14 noon ET close—traders note wild swings from "ELON IS BACK" fervor, but historical volatility warns of sudden lulls in his posting rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,473,877End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...With 275 posts already tallied at 86% progress through April 13 in the April 7–14 window, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's total in the 320–339 range at 39.6% implied probability, reflecting his blistering recent pace of 67 posts per day averaged in the resolved April 11–13 market. This surge stems from heightened X engagement on South African racial policies, Tesla's FSD approval in the Netherlands, and reactions to Hungary's election upset, sustaining viral momentum amid global political buzz. The nearby 300–319 bin at 28.6% underscores a tight race, hinging on Musk's output through the April 14 noon ET close—traders note wild swings from "ELON IS BACK" fervor, but historical volatility warns of sudden lulls in his posting rhythm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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