Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir account's posts for April 14–21 closely splits between 5–9 (31%) and 15–19 (29%), reflecting uncertainty in its post-martyrdom rhythm after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early March 2026 amid US-Israel strikes on Tehran. Recent weeks averaged 4–6 posts—five from April 1–7 (April 1, 3, two on 5, 7), mostly archival statements criticizing Zionists, the US, and Trump—keeping lower bins favored amid sparse activity, yet higher ranges draw bets on potential surges tied to escalating regional tensions, Resistance Front updates, or diplomatic signals from the new leadership under Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. A major military escalation, ceasefire talks, or official commemorations could boost volume and separate frontrunners; otherwise, steady low output persists.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
20-24 29%
10-14 27%
5-9 23%
<5 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 21, 2026
<5
20%
5-9
27%
10-14
19%
15-19
19%
20-24
29%
25-29
15%
30-34
12%
35-39
14%
40-44
10%
45-49
10%
50-54
10%
55-59
7%
60+
8%
20-24 29%
10-14 27%
5-9 23%
<5 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 21, 2026
<5
$134 Vol.
20%
5-9
$51 Vol.
27%
10-14
$40 Vol.
19%
15-19
$39 Vol.
19%
20-24
$39 Vol.
29%
25-29
$39 Vol.
15%
30-34
$39 Vol.
12%
35-39
$45 Vol.
14%
40-44
$76 Vol.
10%
45-49
$102 Vol.
10%
50-54
$108 Vol.
10%
55-59
$108 Vol.
7%
60+
$100 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir account's posts for April 14–21 closely splits between 5–9 (31%) and 15–19 (29%), reflecting uncertainty in its post-martyrdom rhythm after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early March 2026 amid US-Israel strikes on Tehran. Recent weeks averaged 4–6 posts—five from April 1–7 (April 1, 3, two on 5, 7), mostly archival statements criticizing Zionists, the US, and Trump—keeping lower bins favored amid sparse activity, yet higher ranges draw bets on potential surges tied to escalating regional tensions, Resistance Front updates, or diplomatic signals from the new leadership under Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. A major military escalation, ceasefire talks, or official commemorations could boost volume and separate frontrunners; otherwise, steady low output persists.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$919End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir account's posts for April 14–21 closely splits between 5–9 (31%) and 15–19 (29%), reflecting uncertainty in its post-martyrdom rhythm after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early March 2026 amid US-Israel strikes on Tehran. Recent weeks averaged 4–6 posts—five from April 1–7 (April 1, 3, two on 5, 7), mostly archival statements criticizing Zionists, the US, and Trump—keeping lower bins favored amid sparse activity, yet higher ranges draw bets on potential surges tied to escalating regional tensions, Resistance Front updates, or diplomatic signals from the new leadership under Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. A major military escalation, ceasefire talks, or official commemorations could boost volume and separate frontrunners; otherwise, steady low output persists.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$919End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir account's posts for April 14–21 closely splits between 5–9 (31%) and 15–19 (29%), reflecting uncertainty in its post-martyrdom rhythm after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early March 2026 amid US-Israel strikes on Tehran. Recent weeks averaged 4–6 posts—five from April 1–7 (April 1, 3, two on 5, 7), mostly archival statements criticizing Zionists, the US, and Trump—keeping lower bins favored amid sparse activity, yet higher ranges draw bets on potential surges tied to escalating regional tensions, Resistance Front updates, or diplomatic signals from the new leadership under Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. A major military escalation, ceasefire talks, or official commemorations could boost volume and separate frontrunners; otherwise, steady low output persists.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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