Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

May 1

Jun 1

May 1

Jun 1

1200-1239 12.7%

1160-1199 12.0%

1240-1279 10.4%

1120-1159 9.8%

Polymarket

$6,265,941 Vol.

1200-1239 12.7%

1160-1199 12.0%

1240-1279 10.4%

1120-1159 9.8%

Polymarket

$6,265,941 Vol.

480-499

$113,877 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$99,170 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$81,426 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$73,998 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$93,349 Vol.

<1%

580-599

$90,101 Vol.

<1%

600-619

$73,286 Vol.

<1%

620-639

$119,794 Vol.

<1%

640-659

$98,026 Vol.

<1%

660-679

$126,713 Vol.

<1%

680-699

$37,144 Vol.

<1%

700-719

$53,938 Vol.

<1%

720-739

$42,367 Vol.

<1%

740-759

$16,805 Vol.

<1%

760-779

$35,749 Vol.

<1%

780-799

$45,494 Vol.

<1%

800-839

$30,648 Vol.

<1%

840-879

$38,738 Vol.

<1%

880-919

$140,240 Vol.

1%

920-959

$44,367 Vol.

2%

960-999

$33,293 Vol.

6%

1000-1039

$36,957 Vol.

6%

1040-1079

$88,526 Vol.

4%

1080-1119

$59,030 Vol.

5%

1120-1159

$111,460 Vol.

10%

1160-1199

$272,123 Vol.

12%

1200-1239

$166,769 Vol.

13%

1240-1279

$84,082 Vol.

10%

1280-1319

$169,554 Vol.

9%

1320-1359

$239,825 Vol.

8%

1360-1399

$213,559 Vol.

5%

1400-1439

$516,977 Vol.

5%

1440-1479

$79,564 Vol.

4%

1480-1519

$70,722 Vol.

2%

1520-1559

$87,355 Vol.

2%

1560-1599

$107,430 Vol.

2%

1600-1679

$102,866 Vol.

1%

1680-1759

$140,548 Vol.

1%

1760-1839

$98,847 Vol.

<1%

1840-1919

$149,248 Vol.

<1%

1920-1999

$23,398 Vol.

<1%

2000+

$25,663 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 1100-1300 times in April 2026, with the 1200-1239 range leading at 12.7% implied probability, closely trailed by 1160-1199 at 12.0% and others nearby. This clustering stems from Musk's consistent mid-40s daily posting pace through April 13—mirroring short-term markets like April 11-13's frontrunning 140-164 tally—fueled by viral engagements on Tesla's Model 3 anniversary, Neuralink breakthroughs, and cultural debates over immigration and UK policy shifts. Competitive dynamics hinge on the remaining 17 days: sustained volume from X platform updates or SpaceX/Tesla news could push toward 1300+, while any travel or focus on executive duties might dip below 1100, keeping odds fragmented amid his unpredictable pop culture firestorms.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$6,265,941
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 1100-1300 times in April 2026, with the 1200-1239 range leading at 12.7% implied probability, closely trailed by 1160-1199 at 12.0% and others nearby. This clustering stems from Musk's consistent mid-40s daily posting pace through April 13—mirroring short-term markets like April 11-13's frontrunning 140-164 tally—fueled by viral engagements on Tesla's Model 3 anniversary, Neuralink breakthroughs, and cultural debates over immigration and UK policy shifts. Competitive dynamics hinge on the remaining 17 days: sustained volume from X platform updates or SpaceX/Tesla news could push toward 1300+, while any travel or focus on executive duties might dip below 1100, keeping odds fragmented amid his unpredictable pop culture firestorms.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$6,265,941
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

Related

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66%
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Another Elon baby by June 30?

14%
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Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

44%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1200-1239" at 13%, followed by "1160-1199" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" has generated $6.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" is "1200-1239" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1160-1199" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.