Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

51%

December 31

$11M Vol.

$142K Liq.

364

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

97%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$161K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

30%

Up

$537 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 17 days

What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)

What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)

98%

Crypto / Bitcoin

$372K Vol.

$312K today

$16.6K Liq.

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

91%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$305K today

$340K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Who will Trump name in April?

Who will Trump name in April?

86%

Newsom / Newscum

$81.8K Vol.

$54.7K today

$2.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 17 days

Who will Trump meet with in April?

Who will Trump meet with in April?

49%

Elon Musk

$61.6K Vol.

$96.5K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Who will Trump talk to in April?

80%

Mohammed bin Salman

$186K Vol.

$115K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

94%

Xi Jinping

$317K Vol.

$176K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will Trump say during bilateral events with King Charles?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with King Charles?

89%

King

$7.9K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 17 days

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

81%

Not revealed in 2026

$11.9K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

7%

Fed Rate Cut

$160K Vol.

$32.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

48%

60-79

$2.4K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

53%

June 30

$109K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

54

Ends in 3 months

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

50%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$705K Liq.

42

Ends in 9 months

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Scotland Women vs Zimbabwe Women - Team Top Batter

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Scotland Women vs Zimbabwe Women - Team Top Batter

-

$251 Vol.

$0 Liq.

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$742K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

13

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

20%

June 30

$59.9K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

97%

Scottish National Party

$2M Vol.

$86.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 24 days

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

11%

$13.9K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Keir.

Polymarket currently hosts 116 active markets for Keir that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Starmer approval Up or Down in April?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 51% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Keir predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.