President Trump's second invocation of "Praise be to Allah" came in an April 11 Truth Social post threatening Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions, gas price spikes, and domestic polling declines—echoing his profanity-laced Easter Sunday message six days earlier. With just two days until the April 15 deadline, traders' 89% implied probability on "No" reflects the absence of any matching statements since April 11, despite ongoing foreign policy pressures including potential military escalation and diplomatic posturing. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores low expectations for a third instance, barring late-breaking executive rhetoric or Iran-related developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
$105,615 Vol.
NEW
$105,615 Vol.
NEW
$105,615 Vol.
NEW
$105,615 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.President Trump's second invocation of "Praise be to Allah" came in an April 11 Truth Social post threatening Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions, gas price spikes, and domestic polling declines—echoing his profanity-laced Easter Sunday message six days earlier. With just two days until the April 15 deadline, traders' 89% implied probability on "No" reflects the absence of any matching statements since April 11, despite ongoing foreign policy pressures including potential military escalation and diplomatic posturing. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores low expectations for a third instance, barring late-breaking executive rhetoric or Iran-related developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Volume
$105,615Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.President Trump's second invocation of "Praise be to Allah" came in an April 11 Truth Social post threatening Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions, gas price spikes, and domestic polling declines—echoing his profanity-laced Easter Sunday message six days earlier. With just two days until the April 15 deadline, traders' 89% implied probability on "No" reflects the absence of any matching statements since April 11, despite ongoing foreign policy pressures including potential military escalation and diplomatic posturing. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores low expectations for a third instance, barring late-breaking executive rhetoric or Iran-related developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Volume
$106,210Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's second invocation of "Praise be to Allah" came in an April 11 Truth Social post threatening Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions, gas price spikes, and domestic polling declines—echoing his profanity-laced Easter Sunday message six days earlier. With just two days until the April 15 deadline, traders' 89% implied probability on "No" reflects the absence of any matching statements since April 11, despite ongoing foreign policy pressures including potential military escalation and diplomatic posturing. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores low expectations for a third instance, barring late-breaking executive rhetoric or Iran-related developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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