Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 140-164 times on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13 12:00 PM ET, with a 64.6% implied probability, driven by his consistent 65 tweets-per-day pace tracked at 130 total posts after two days elapsed as of early April 13. Recent catalysts include Musk's viral responses to Hungary's election upset—celebrated by global left-leaning figures—and Tesla's Full Self-Driving approval in the Netherlands, fueling steady political and tech commentary amid high social media engagement. Lower buckets like 115-139 (12.5%) reflect potential weekend slowdowns, while higher ranges trail due to historical norms capping surges. With hours left until resolution, final morning activity could tip the scales in this closely watched pop culture tweetathon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated140-164 65.5%
165-189 17.8%
115-139 13.4%
190-214 1.6%
$2,711,428 Vol.
$2,711,428 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
115-139
13%
140-164
66%
165-189
18%
190-214
2%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
140-164 65.5%
165-189 17.8%
115-139 13.4%
190-214 1.6%
$2,711,428 Vol.
$2,711,428 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
115-139
$403,506 Vol.
13%
140-164
$247,431 Vol.
66%
165-189
$273,359 Vol.
18%
190-214
$323,466 Vol.
2%
215-239
$185,003 Vol.
<1%
240+
$206,599 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 140-164 times on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13 12:00 PM ET, with a 64.6% implied probability, driven by his consistent 65 tweets-per-day pace tracked at 130 total posts after two days elapsed as of early April 13. Recent catalysts include Musk's viral responses to Hungary's election upset—celebrated by global left-leaning figures—and Tesla's Full Self-Driving approval in the Netherlands, fueling steady political and tech commentary amid high social media engagement. Lower buckets like 115-139 (12.5%) reflect potential weekend slowdowns, while higher ranges trail due to historical norms capping surges. With hours left until resolution, final morning activity could tip the scales in this closely watched pop culture tweetathon.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volume
$2,711,428End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 140-164 times on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13 12:00 PM ET, with a 64.6% implied probability, driven by his consistent 65 tweets-per-day pace tracked at 130 total posts after two days elapsed as of early April 13. Recent catalysts include Musk's viral responses to Hungary's election upset—celebrated by global left-leaning figures—and Tesla's Full Self-Driving approval in the Netherlands, fueling steady political and tech commentary amid high social media engagement. Lower buckets like 115-139 (12.5%) reflect potential weekend slowdowns, while higher ranges trail due to historical norms capping surges. With hours left until resolution, final morning activity could tip the scales in this closely watched pop culture tweetathon.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,711,428End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 140-164 times on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13 12:00 PM ET, with a 64.6% implied probability, driven by his consistent 65 tweets-per-day pace tracked at 130 total posts after two days elapsed as of early April 13. Recent catalysts include Musk's viral responses to Hungary's election upset—celebrated by global left-leaning figures—and Tesla's Full Self-Driving approval in the Netherlands, fueling steady political and tech commentary amid high social media engagement. Lower buckets like 115-139 (12.5%) reflect potential weekend slowdowns, while higher ranges trail due to historical norms capping surges. With hours left until resolution, final morning activity could tip the scales in this closely watched pop culture tweetathon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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