Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posts market for April 13-15 centers on the 65-89 range at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting a moderation from the prior April 11-13 period's confirmed 134 posts—averaging over 60 daily amid heightened political discourse on government spending and historical debates. This burst followed typical 30-50 posts per day patterns, but bettors factor in normalization amid Musk's Department of Government Efficiency commitments and quieter weekends, with 90-114 at 23.5% capturing upside risk from viral replies or Tesla/SpaceX updates. Unpredictable catalysts like breaking news could swing volume before the April 15 noon ET close, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking celebrity social media rhythms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 38%
90-114 24%
40-64 17%
115-139 12.0%
NEW
$149,099 Vol.
NEW
$149,099 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
<40
2%
40-64
17%
65-89
38%
90-114
24%
115-139
12%
140-164
5%
165-189
2%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 38%
90-114 24%
40-64 17%
115-139 12.0%
NEW
$149,099 Vol.
NEW
$149,099 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
<40
$16,555 Vol.
2%
40-64
$5,537 Vol.
17%
65-89
$8,418 Vol.
38%
90-114
$13,861 Vol.
24%
115-139
$15,235 Vol.
12%
140-164
$11,901 Vol.
5%
165-189
$14,488 Vol.
2%
190-214
$17,189 Vol.
1%
215-239
$27,983 Vol.
<1%
240+
$17,990 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posts market for April 13-15 centers on the 65-89 range at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting a moderation from the prior April 11-13 period's confirmed 134 posts—averaging over 60 daily amid heightened political discourse on government spending and historical debates. This burst followed typical 30-50 posts per day patterns, but bettors factor in normalization amid Musk's Department of Government Efficiency commitments and quieter weekends, with 90-114 at 23.5% capturing upside risk from viral replies or Tesla/SpaceX updates. Unpredictable catalysts like breaking news could swing volume before the April 15 noon ET close, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking celebrity social media rhythms.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$149,099End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posts market for April 13-15 centers on the 65-89 range at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting a moderation from the prior April 11-13 period's confirmed 134 posts—averaging over 60 daily amid heightened political discourse on government spending and historical debates. This burst followed typical 30-50 posts per day patterns, but bettors factor in normalization amid Musk's Department of Government Efficiency commitments and quieter weekends, with 90-114 at 23.5% capturing upside risk from viral replies or Tesla/SpaceX updates. Unpredictable catalysts like breaking news could swing volume before the April 15 noon ET close, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking celebrity social media rhythms.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$149,099End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posts market for April 13-15 centers on the 65-89 range at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting a moderation from the prior April 11-13 period's confirmed 134 posts—averaging over 60 daily amid heightened political discourse on government spending and historical debates. This burst followed typical 30-50 posts per day patterns, but bettors factor in normalization amid Musk's Department of Government Efficiency commitments and quieter weekends, with 90-114 at 23.5% capturing upside risk from viral replies or Tesla/SpaceX updates. Unpredictable catalysts like breaking news could swing volume before the April 15 noon ET close, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking celebrity social media rhythms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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