Trader consensus heavily favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) for third place in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, with 66% implied probability, reflecting official results certified by the National Electoral Council (CNE) after the March 8 vote. Pacto Histórico secured first with 41 curules, Centro Democrático second at 30, and PLC third at 24—well ahead of the Partido Conservador Colombiano's 20. Preconteo trends on election night solidified during escrutinio, with no recounts or disputes altering the top rankings despite low turnout and fragmented opposition. Cambio Radical (12 seats) and others trail, underscoring traditional parties' resilience in proportional representation across departmental circumscriptions ahead of May presidential polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPartido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 67.3%
Cambio Radical (CR) 3.8%
Centro Democrático (CD) 3.6%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) 1.5%
$9,859,902 Vol.
$9,859,902 Vol.

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
67%

Cambio Radical (CR)
4%

Centro Democrático (CD)
4%

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
7%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
1%

MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL)
1%

Green Alliance (AV)
1%

Partido de la U (La U)
1%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 67.3%
Cambio Radical (CR) 3.8%
Centro Democrático (CD) 3.6%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) 1.5%
$9,859,902 Vol.
$9,859,902 Vol.

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
67%

Cambio Radical (CR)
4%

Centro Democrático (CD)
4%

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
7%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
1%

MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL)
1%

Green Alliance (AV)
1%

Partido de la U (La U)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) for third place in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, with 66% implied probability, reflecting official results certified by the National Electoral Council (CNE) after the March 8 vote. Pacto Histórico secured first with 41 curules, Centro Democrático second at 30, and PLC third at 24—well ahead of the Partido Conservador Colombiano's 20. Preconteo trends on election night solidified during escrutinio, with no recounts or disputes altering the top rankings despite low turnout and fragmented opposition. Cambio Radical (12 seats) and others trail, underscoring traditional parties' resilience in proportional representation across departmental circumscriptions ahead of May presidential polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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