Parties predictions & odds

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Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

19%

$2.5K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

89%

Democrats (D)

$175K Vol.

$56.7K Liq.

3

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

95%

Moderates

$67.1K Vol.

$54.4K Liq.

9

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

79%

Dem-Rep

$52.5K Vol.

$37.3K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

100%

Mi Hazánk

$359K Vol.

$76.8K today

$52.1K Liq.

21

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

59%

BSP

$77.1K Vol.

$73.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 days

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

96%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$11M Vol.

$3M today

$43.3K Liq.

16

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

2%

April 10

$9M Vol.

$1M today

$142K Liq.

1

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

86%

April 30

$127K Vol.

$127K today

$50.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?

# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?

100%

130+

$2M Vol.

$114K today

$86.3K Liq.

9

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?

<1%

80+

$588K Vol.

$104K today

$127K Liq.

6

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

96%

April 30

$235K Vol.

$105K today

$49.6K Liq.

35

Ends in about 5 hours

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

10%

United Kingdom

$2M Vol.

$101K today

$194K Liq.

120

Ends in 16 days

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

23%

$1M Vol.

$96.6K today

$21.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

67%

United Russia (ER)

$5M Vol.

$52.1K today

$345K Liq.

136

Ends in 5 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

54%

Democrats Sweep

$5M Vol.

$51.3K today

$595K Liq.

146

Ends in 7 months

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

81%

Pakistan

$40.6K Vol.

$78.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

96%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$2M Vol.

$200K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

52%

BJP

$313K Vol.

$133K Liq.

15

Ends in 15 days

WI-02 House Election Winner

WI-02 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$19.7K Vol.

$55.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Parties.

Polymarket currently hosts 1020 active markets for Parties that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $40.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Parties predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.