Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted by the National Election Office, project Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly—surpassing the two-thirds supermajority threshold of 133 and well above the 130 mark implied by trader consensus at 99.3%. Record turnout near 78% fueled Tisza's landslide over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz, which garnered around 55 seats, prompting Orbán's concession after 16 years in power. This opposition surge reflects anti-incumbent sentiment amid economic woes and EU tensions. Final certification awaits, but rural recounts or fraud claims from Fidesz strongholds pose minimal risk of dropping below 130 absent major discrepancies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?
# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?
130+ 99.0%
100–109 <1%
120-129 <1%
110–119 <1%
$1,782,493 Vol.
$1,782,493 Vol.
<70
<1%
70–79
<1%
80–89
<1%
90–99
<1%
100–109
1%
110–119
<1%
120-129
<1%
130+
99%
130+ 99.0%
100–109 <1%
120-129 <1%
110–119 <1%
$1,782,493 Vol.
$1,782,493 Vol.
<70
<1%
70–79
<1%
80–89
<1%
90–99
<1%
100–109
1%
110–119
<1%
120-129
<1%
130+
99%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted by the National Election Office, project Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly—surpassing the two-thirds supermajority threshold of 133 and well above the 130 mark implied by trader consensus at 99.3%. Record turnout near 78% fueled Tisza's landslide over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz, which garnered around 55 seats, prompting Orbán's concession after 16 years in power. This opposition surge reflects anti-incumbent sentiment amid economic woes and EU tensions. Final certification awaits, but rural recounts or fraud claims from Fidesz strongholds pose minimal risk of dropping below 130 absent major discrepancies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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