Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

MomichetaMeIgnorirat · 2026-03-27T16:25:50.969Z

Discussion about Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

Politics·Bulgaria

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

$72,235 Vol.

Apr 19, 2026

BSP

$20,557 Vol.

63%

MECh

$4,646 Vol.

17%

Velichie

$24,526 Vol.

11%

ITN

$10,046 Vol.

APS

$12,482 Vol.

$72,235 Vol.

BSP

$20,557 Vol.

63%

MECh

$4,646 Vol.

17%

Velichie

$24,526 Vol.

11%

ITN

$10,046 Vol.

APS

$12,482 Vol.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

93%

Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

93%

Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

73%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "BSP" at 63%, followed by "MECh" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" has generated $72.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" is "BSP" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "MECh" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $72.2K traded on “Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 63¢ for "BSP" in the "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 63% chance that "BSP" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 63¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 37¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 19, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" market has a growing discussion of 2 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

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Comments (2)

Top Holders

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