Market icon
Elections·Slovenia Election

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Market icon
Elections·Slovenia Election

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

$171,819 Vol.

Mar 22, 2026
Polymarket

$171,819 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Democrats (D)

$19,134 Vol.

88%

Market icon

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)

$6,169 Vol.

73%

Market icon

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

$22,139 Vol.

76%

Market icon

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)

$4,774 Vol.

67%

Market icon

Resni.ca (Res)

$34,852 Vol.

22%

Market icon

Social Democrats (SD)

$9,536 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)

$1,315 Vol.

8%

Market icon

The Left (Levica)

$8,150 Vol.

15%

Market icon

Prerod (PVP)

$2,332 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Freedom Movement (GS)

$42,594 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)

$626 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Party of Generations (SG)

$879 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)

$12,817 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Our Country (ND)

$3,668 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Slovenian National Party (SNS)

$2,834 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Following Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary elections, which produced a hung National Assembly with no majority, the Freedom Movement (GS) secured a narrow plurality of 29 seats while the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) took 28. Coalition negotiations have intensified amid a deadlock, but the April 11 election of Resnica leader Zoran Stevanović as Speaker with 48 votes from a center-right bloc—SDS, New Slovenia (NSi)/Slovenian People's Party (SLS)/Fokus, Democrats (D), and Resnica—signals momentum toward a right-leaning coalition government potentially led by SDS head Janez Janša. President Nataša Pirc Musar must soon nominate a prime ministerial candidate after consultations; failure to secure assembly approval twice could trigger snap elections. Traders watch these procedural steps and any shifts in smaller parties' positions for resolution cues.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Volume
$171,819
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Following Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary elections, which produced a hung National Assembly with no majority, the Freedom Movement (GS) secured a narrow plurality of 29 seats while the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) took 28. Coalition negotiations have intensified amid a deadlock, but the April 11 election of Resnica leader Zoran Stevanović as Speaker with 48 votes from a center-right bloc—SDS, New Slovenia (NSi)/Slovenian People's Party (SLS)/Fokus, Democrats (D), and Resnica—signals momentum toward a right-leaning coalition government potentially led by SDS head Janez Janša. President Nataša Pirc Musar must soon nominate a prime ministerial candidate after consultations; failure to secure assembly approval twice could trigger snap elections. Traders watch these procedural steps and any shifts in smaller parties' positions for resolution cues.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Volume
$171,819
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.

Related

Market icon

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

70%
Market icon

Will Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?

95%
Market icon

Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

60%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Democrats (D)" at 88%, followed by "Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)" at 76%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" has generated $171.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" is "Democrats (D)" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)" at 76%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.