Resign predictions & odds

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Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$89.4K Liq.

91

Ends in 3 months

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$432K Vol.

$150K Liq.

23

Ends in 9 months

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

9%

Before 2027

$3M Vol.

$34.5K Liq.

43

Ends in 3 months

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

5%

$15.2K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$117M Vol.

$329K today

$550K Liq.

33

Ends in 9 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

41%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$22.6K Vol.

$87.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$98.9K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

$38.2K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

50%

June 30

$109K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

54

Ends in 3 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

90%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$387K today

$365K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

1%

$8M Vol.

$281K today

$968K Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

62%

Delcy Rodríguez

$82M Vol.

$65.9K today

$1M Liq.

211

Ends in 9 months

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

37%

December 31

$9M Vol.

$62.9K today

$363K Liq.

1,023

Ends in 9 months

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

17%

$7M Vol.

$59.3K today

$464K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

6%

$3M Vol.

$59.4K today

$502K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

10%

$4M Vol.

$269K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

99%

$131K Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

35

Ends in 9 months

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

50%

December 31

$11M Vol.

$121K Liq.

364

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

$8M Vol.

$139K Liq.

705

Ends in 9 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

56%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$50.8K Liq.

51

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Resign.

Polymarket currently hosts 199 active markets for Resign that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Macron out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $258.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Resign predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.