Vladimir Putin's continued public visibility and firm control over Russian institutions drive the 87.5% trader consensus on "No," reflecting no verified challenges to his presidency through 2026. Recent appearances, including attending Moscow's Orthodox Easter service and ordering a temporary Ukraine ceasefire last week, counter persistent but unverified health rumors amplified by a deleted March coughing video. Constitutional amendments secure his tenure until at least 2030 with options to 2036, amid elite loyalty and suppression of critics like a blogger institutionalized in mid-March. While military setbacks or elite alienation could theoretically shift dynamics, traders see high barriers to resignation, removal, or incapacitation before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$3,809,186 Vol.
$3,809,186 Vol.
$3,809,186 Vol.
$3,809,186 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's continued public visibility and firm control over Russian institutions drive the 87.5% trader consensus on "No," reflecting no verified challenges to his presidency through 2026. Recent appearances, including attending Moscow's Orthodox Easter service and ordering a temporary Ukraine ceasefire last week, counter persistent but unverified health rumors amplified by a deleted March coughing video. Constitutional amendments secure his tenure until at least 2030 with options to 2036, amid elite loyalty and suppression of critics like a blogger institutionalized in mid-March. While military setbacks or elite alienation could theoretically shift dynamics, traders see high barriers to resignation, removal, or incapacitation before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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