Trader sentiment on whether UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer departs office reflects Labour's plummeting popularity, with a recent April 9 poll showing two-thirds of voters favoring his exit amid Reform UK leading national voting intention surveys. Starmer's net approval rating hit -48% in March 2026, the lowest among major leaders, fueled by backlash over budget cuts, foreign policy missteps like the Chagos Islands deal, and scandals involving allies such as Peter Mandelson. February saw public calls from Tory leader Kemi Badenoch for his removal and Labour MPs deeming his days "numbered," though no formal no-confidence vote has materialized despite internal fury. Upcoming May local elections loom as a potential catalyst for a leadership challenge or snap election, testing Labour's reduced majority cohesion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,691,968 Vol.
April 30
1%
June 30
23%
December 31
51%
$10,691,968 Vol.
April 30
1%
June 30
23%
December 31
51%
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on whether UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer departs office reflects Labour's plummeting popularity, with a recent April 9 poll showing two-thirds of voters favoring his exit amid Reform UK leading national voting intention surveys. Starmer's net approval rating hit -48% in March 2026, the lowest among major leaders, fueled by backlash over budget cuts, foreign policy missteps like the Chagos Islands deal, and scandals involving allies such as Peter Mandelson. February saw public calls from Tory leader Kemi Badenoch for his removal and Labour MPs deeming his days "numbered," though no formal no-confidence vote has materialized despite internal fury. Upcoming May local elections loom as a potential catalyst for a leadership challenge or snap election, testing Labour's reduced majority cohesion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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