Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5¢ on President Trump's resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official statements, health issues, or acute political pressures signaling an early exit from his second term. Recent administration turnover—including the resignation of counterterrorism official Joe Kent over the Iran conflict and Attorney General Pam Bondi's departure—has fueled partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's March predictions of a post-midterm step-down to seek a pardon from Vice President Vance, but these remain unsubstantiated opinions without White House corroboration. Trump continues active engagement on foreign policy escalations like Iran threats and domestic executive actions, with historical precedents showing presidents rarely resign absent impeachment threats or scandals; the November 2026 midterms loom as the next potential catalyst, though odds imply low disruption risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5¢ on President Trump's resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official statements, health issues, or acute political pressures signaling an early exit from his second term. Recent administration turnover—including the resignation of counterterrorism official Joe Kent over the Iran conflict and Attorney General Pam Bondi's departure—has fueled partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's March predictions of a post-midterm step-down to seek a pardon from Vice President Vance, but these remain unsubstantiated opinions without White House corroboration. Trump continues active engagement on foreign policy escalations like Iran threats and domestic executive actions, with historical precedents showing presidents rarely resign absent impeachment threats or scandals; the November 2026 midterms loom as the next potential catalyst, though odds imply low disruption risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$431,570End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5¢ on President Trump's resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official statements, health issues, or acute political pressures signaling an early exit from his second term. Recent administration turnover—including the resignation of counterterrorism official Joe Kent over the Iran conflict and Attorney General Pam Bondi's departure—has fueled partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's March predictions of a post-midterm step-down to seek a pardon from Vice President Vance, but these remain unsubstantiated opinions without White House corroboration. Trump continues active engagement on foreign policy escalations like Iran threats and domestic executive actions, with historical precedents showing presidents rarely resign absent impeachment threats or scandals; the November 2026 midterms loom as the next potential catalyst, though odds imply low disruption risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$431,570End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5¢ on President Trump's resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official statements, health issues, or acute political pressures signaling an early exit from his second term. Recent administration turnover—including the resignation of counterterrorism official Joe Kent over the Iran conflict and Attorney General Pam Bondi's departure—has fueled partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's March predictions of a post-midterm step-down to seek a pardon from Vice President Vance, but these remain unsubstantiated opinions without White House corroboration. Trump continues active engagement on foreign policy escalations like Iran threats and domestic executive actions, with historical precedents showing presidents rarely resign absent impeachment threats or scandals; the November 2026 midterms loom as the next potential catalyst, though odds imply low disruption risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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