Trump's continued execution of presidential duties, including press gaggles on April 11 and executive orders in 2026, underpins traders' 99% consensus against him leaving office by April 30, reflecting steep constitutional barriers to removal. Recent Democratic calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation—sparked by his escalatory rhetoric on Iran, such as threats of a Strait of Hormuz blockade after failed talks—have gained no procedural traction, with no House votes scheduled and Republican majorities blocking advancement. Resignation rumors remain unsubstantiated partisan chatter. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented cabinet action, sudden health crisis, or rapid impeachment conviction, all improbable within the two-week window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$7,432,642 Vol.
$7,432,642 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$7,432,642 Vol.
$7,432,642 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's continued execution of presidential duties, including press gaggles on April 11 and executive orders in 2026, underpins traders' 99% consensus against him leaving office by April 30, reflecting steep constitutional barriers to removal. Recent Democratic calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation—sparked by his escalatory rhetoric on Iran, such as threats of a Strait of Hormuz blockade after failed talks—have gained no procedural traction, with no House votes scheduled and Republican majorities blocking advancement. Resignation rumors remain unsubstantiated partisan chatter. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented cabinet action, sudden health crisis, or rapid impeachment conviction, all improbable within the two-week window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$7,432,642End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's continued execution of presidential duties, including press gaggles on April 11 and executive orders in 2026, underpins traders' 99% consensus against him leaving office by April 30, reflecting steep constitutional barriers to removal. Recent Democratic calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation—sparked by his escalatory rhetoric on Iran, such as threats of a Strait of Hormuz blockade after failed talks—have gained no procedural traction, with no House votes scheduled and Republican majorities blocking advancement. Resignation rumors remain unsubstantiated partisan chatter. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented cabinet action, sudden health crisis, or rapid impeachment conviction, all improbable within the two-week window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,432,670End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's continued execution of presidential duties, including press gaggles on April 11 and executive orders in 2026, underpins traders' 99% consensus against him leaving office by April 30, reflecting steep constitutional barriers to removal. Recent Democratic calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation—sparked by his escalatory rhetoric on Iran, such as threats of a Strait of Hormuz blockade after failed talks—have gained no procedural traction, with no House votes scheduled and Republican majorities blocking advancement. Resignation rumors remain unsubstantiated partisan chatter. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented cabinet action, sudden health crisis, or rapid impeachment conviction, all improbable within the two-week window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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