Elections predictions & odds

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Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$88M Vol.

$13M today

$6M Liq.

2,041

Peru Presidential Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

53%

Keiko Fujimori

$21M Vol.

$7M today

$3M Liq.

2,099

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

28%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$5M today

$48M Liq.

653

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·US Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$521M Vol.

$3M today

$30M Liq.

846

Ends in over 2 years

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

96%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$11M Vol.

$3M today

$43.3K Liq.

16

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

40%

J.D. Vance

$550M Vol.

$3M today

$31M Liq.

346

Ends in over 2 years

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

90%

Chong Won-oh

$21M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

27

Ends in about 2 months

Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Édouard Philippe

$38M Vol.

$953K today

$4M Liq.

395

Ends in about 1 year

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

97%

Keiko Fujimori

$2M Vol.

$492K today

$534K Liq.

14

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Elections·Global Elections

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

99%

Tisza 9%+

$3M Vol.

$411K today

$304K Liq.

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)
Elections·Global Elections

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

97%

Tisza 12-15%

$554K Vol.

$410K today

$135K Liq.

California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

56%

Tom Steyer

$9M Vol.

$379K today

$1M Liq.

26

Ends in 7 months

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
Elections·Global Elections

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

96%

77–80%

$1M Vol.

$313K today

$109K Liq.

205

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

1%

$8M Vol.

$310K today

$957K Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
Elections·Global Elections

Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

95%

50-54%

$500K Vol.

$304K today

$88.9K Liq.

3

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

52%

Rafael López Aliaga

$625K Vol.

$304K today

$213K Liq.

12

Hungary Election: TISZA wins___seats?
Elections·Global Elections

Hungary Election: TISZA wins___seats?

100%

100+

$906K Vol.

$295K today

$111K Liq.

6

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Elections·Global Elections

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

99%

$448K Vol.

$272K today

$35.1K Liq.

6

Hungary Parliamentary Election:  Popular Vote Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner

100%

Tisza

$2M Vol.

$223K today

$152K Liq.

13

Colombia Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

41%

Paloma Valencia

$19M Vol.

$197K today

$1M Liq.

377

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 843 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Prime Minister of Hungary”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 28% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.