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Politics·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria

Rumen Radev 94.7%

Rosen Zhelyazkov <1%

Krum Zarkov <1%

Assen Vassilev <1%

Polymarket

$38,313 Vol.

Rumen Radev 94.7%

Rosen Zhelyazkov <1%

Krum Zarkov <1%

Assen Vassilev <1%

Polymarket

$38,313 Vol.

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Rumen Radev

$15,445 Vol.

95%

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Rosen Zhelyazkov

$2,376 Vol.

1%

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Krum Zarkov

$3,324 Vol.

1%

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Assen Vassilev

$3,461 Vol.

1%

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Dimitar Glavchev

$1,998 Vol.

1%

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Kostadin Kostadinov

$2,269 Vol.

1%

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Andrey Gyurov

$3,308 Vol.

<1%

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Boyko Borissov

$2,469 Vol.

<1%

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Delyan Peevski

$1,805 Vol.

<1%

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Nikolai Denkov

$1,859 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria alliance holds a commanding poll lead of around 33%—well ahead of GERB-UDF at 19%—in surveys like Sova Harris from early April, propelling trader consensus to a 94.6% implied probability for him as next prime minister ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election. This dominance arises from his January 2026 presidential resignation to launch the coalition amid voter exhaustion with corruption scandals, budget protests that forced Rosen Zhelyazkov's December 2025 ouster, and repeated failed coalition talks in prior elections. Bulgaria's proportional representation ensures no outright majority, positioning Radev for the initial exploratory mandate from acting President Iliyana Yotova. Realistic challenges include post-election coalition breakdowns with parties like Revival or PP-DB, low turnout favoring incumbents, or late scandals mirroring historical deadlocks that triggered eight votes since 2021.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,313
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria alliance holds a commanding poll lead of around 33%—well ahead of GERB-UDF at 19%—in surveys like Sova Harris from early April, propelling trader consensus to a 94.6% implied probability for him as next prime minister ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election. This dominance arises from his January 2026 presidential resignation to launch the coalition amid voter exhaustion with corruption scandals, budget protests that forced Rosen Zhelyazkov's December 2025 ouster, and repeated failed coalition talks in prior elections. Bulgaria's proportional representation ensures no outright majority, positioning Radev for the initial exploratory mandate from acting President Iliyana Yotova. Realistic challenges include post-election coalition breakdowns with parties like Revival or PP-DB, low turnout favoring incumbents, or late scandals mirroring historical deadlocks that triggered eight votes since 2021.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,313
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rumen Radev" at 95%, followed by "Rosen Zhelyazkov" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria" has generated $38.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria" is "Rumen Radev" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rosen Zhelyazkov" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.