Recent polls project GERB-SDS securing 55-70 seats in Bulgaria's National Assembly under proportional representation, with trader consensus centering on 55-64 seats reflecting this range amid a fragmented field where Progressive Bulgaria leads vote shares at 30-34% but six parties are poised to cross the 4% threshold. The latest Sova Harris survey (April 2-6) shows GERB-SDS at 19% (55 seats projected), down from late March Gallup (23.4%, 70 seats) and Alpha Research (21.2%, 64 seats) figures, keeping the race tight due to volatility, undecided voters, and expected low turnout of around 51% in this eighth snap election since 2021 triggered by government collapse and protests. Final campaigning, turnout mobilization, or shifts among smaller parties like DPS and Vazrazhdane could widen the spread before the April 19 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated60-64 29%
55-59 26%
70+ 18%
50-54 15%
$33,000 Vol.
$33,000 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
<50
6%
50-54
15%
55-59
26%
60-64
29%
65-69
11%
70+
18%
60-64 29%
55-59 26%
70+ 18%
50-54 15%
$33,000 Vol.
$33,000 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
<50
$1,744 Vol.
6%
50-54
$108 Vol.
15%
55-59
$7,451 Vol.
26%
60-64
$19,962 Vol.
29%
65-69
$2,702 Vol.
11%
70+
$1,033 Vol.
18%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls project GERB-SDS securing 55-70 seats in Bulgaria's National Assembly under proportional representation, with trader consensus centering on 55-64 seats reflecting this range amid a fragmented field where Progressive Bulgaria leads vote shares at 30-34% but six parties are poised to cross the 4% threshold. The latest Sova Harris survey (April 2-6) shows GERB-SDS at 19% (55 seats projected), down from late March Gallup (23.4%, 70 seats) and Alpha Research (21.2%, 64 seats) figures, keeping the race tight due to volatility, undecided voters, and expected low turnout of around 51% in this eighth snap election since 2021 triggered by government collapse and protests. Final campaigning, turnout mobilization, or shifts among smaller parties like DPS and Vazrazhdane could widen the spread before the April 19 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ET
Volume
$33,000End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls project GERB-SDS securing 55-70 seats in Bulgaria's National Assembly under proportional representation, with trader consensus centering on 55-64 seats reflecting this range amid a fragmented field where Progressive Bulgaria leads vote shares at 30-34% but six parties are poised to cross the 4% threshold. The latest Sova Harris survey (April 2-6) shows GERB-SDS at 19% (55 seats projected), down from late March Gallup (23.4%, 70 seats) and Alpha Research (21.2%, 64 seats) figures, keeping the race tight due to volatility, undecided voters, and expected low turnout of around 51% in this eighth snap election since 2021 triggered by government collapse and protests. Final campaigning, turnout mobilization, or shifts among smaller parties like DPS and Vazrazhdane could widen the spread before the April 19 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$33,000End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls project GERB-SDS securing 55-70 seats in Bulgaria's National Assembly under proportional representation, with trader consensus centering on 55-64 seats reflecting this range amid a fragmented field where Progressive Bulgaria leads vote shares at 30-34% but six parties are poised to cross the 4% threshold. The latest Sova Harris survey (April 2-6) shows GERB-SDS at 19% (55 seats projected), down from late March Gallup (23.4%, 70 seats) and Alpha Research (21.2%, 64 seats) figures, keeping the race tight due to volatility, undecided voters, and expected low turnout of around 51% in this eighth snap election since 2021 triggered by government collapse and protests. Final campaigning, turnout mobilization, or shifts among smaller parties like DPS and Vazrazhdane could widen the spread before the April 19 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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