Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Péter Magyar's opposition Tisza party securing a commanding lead in the popular vote, with exit polls indicating around 55% support compared to 38% for Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP alliance amid record 77.8% turnout. Orbán's public concession of defeat following these outcomes has solidified trader consensus, pricing Tisza at near-certainty for popular vote winner. Pre-election polls consistently projected Tisza's dominance, driven by anti-incumbency sentiment and Magyar's grassroots campaign emphasizing pro-EU reforms. While fraud allegations from both sides persist, no significant discrepancies have emerged in vote counts, making challenges via recounts or court rulings unlikely absent major reversals in final tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTisza 99.8%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Other <1%
$1,678,429 Vol.
$1,678,429 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
<1%
Tisza
100%
Other
<1%
Tisza 99.8%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Other <1%
$1,678,429 Vol.
$1,678,429 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
$647,656 Vol.
<1%
Tisza
$727,438 Vol.
100%
Other
$303,334 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Péter Magyar's opposition Tisza party securing a commanding lead in the popular vote, with exit polls indicating around 55% support compared to 38% for Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP alliance amid record 77.8% turnout. Orbán's public concession of defeat following these outcomes has solidified trader consensus, pricing Tisza at near-certainty for popular vote winner. Pre-election polls consistently projected Tisza's dominance, driven by anti-incumbency sentiment and Magyar's grassroots campaign emphasizing pro-EU reforms. While fraud allegations from both sides persist, no significant discrepancies have emerged in vote counts, making challenges via recounts or court rulings unlikely absent major reversals in final tallies.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Market Opened: Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,678,429End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Péter Magyar's opposition Tisza party securing a commanding lead in the popular vote, with exit polls indicating around 55% support compared to 38% for Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP alliance amid record 77.8% turnout. Orbán's public concession of defeat following these outcomes has solidified trader consensus, pricing Tisza at near-certainty for popular vote winner. Pre-election polls consistently projected Tisza's dominance, driven by anti-incumbency sentiment and Magyar's grassroots campaign emphasizing pro-EU reforms. While fraud allegations from both sides persist, no significant discrepancies have emerged in vote counts, making challenges via recounts or court rulings unlikely absent major reversals in final tallies.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Volume
$1,678,429End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Péter Magyar's opposition Tisza party securing a commanding lead in the popular vote, with exit polls indicating around 55% support compared to 38% for Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP alliance amid record 77.8% turnout. Orbán's public concession of defeat following these outcomes has solidified trader consensus, pricing Tisza at near-certainty for popular vote winner. Pre-election polls consistently projected Tisza's dominance, driven by anti-incumbency sentiment and Magyar's grassroots campaign emphasizing pro-EU reforms. While fraud allegations from both sides persist, no significant discrepancies have emerged in vote counts, making challenges via recounts or court rulings unlikely absent major reversals in final tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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