Partial counts from over 70% of precincts in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show TISZA capturing approximately 52% of the national list vote, anchoring trader consensus at 98.3% for the 50-54% outcome as Péter Magyar's center-right opposition party surges to a projected two-thirds parliamentary majority. Sustained polling averages placed TISZA at 49-51% in the lead-up, bolstered by final Median and 21 Kutatóközpont surveys confirming a 12-point edge over Fidesz amid record 78% turnout signaling anti-incumbent momentum after 16 years of Viktor Orbán's rule. Orbán's concession speech further cements the shift. While rural Fidesz strongholds in remaining tallies could modestly trim TISZA's share below 50%, official trends and seat projections render this unlikely absent irregularities or recounts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated50-54% 98.4%
54%+ 1.4%
<42% <1%
46-50% <1%
$433,715 Vol.
$433,715 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<42%
1%
42-46%
<1%
46-50%
<1%
50-54%
98%
54%+
1%
50-54% 98.4%
54%+ 1.4%
<42% <1%
46-50% <1%
$433,715 Vol.
$433,715 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<42%
$26,193 Vol.
1%
42-46%
$19,962 Vol.
<1%
46-50%
$25,794 Vol.
<1%
50-54%
$68,102 Vol.
98%
54%+
$293,664 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Partial counts from over 70% of precincts in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show TISZA capturing approximately 52% of the national list vote, anchoring trader consensus at 98.3% for the 50-54% outcome as Péter Magyar's center-right opposition party surges to a projected two-thirds parliamentary majority. Sustained polling averages placed TISZA at 49-51% in the lead-up, bolstered by final Median and 21 Kutatóközpont surveys confirming a 12-point edge over Fidesz amid record 78% turnout signaling anti-incumbent momentum after 16 years of Viktor Orbán's rule. Orbán's concession speech further cements the shift. While rural Fidesz strongholds in remaining tallies could modestly trim TISZA's share below 50%, official trends and seat projections render this unlikely absent irregularities or recounts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$433,715End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Partial counts from over 70% of precincts in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show TISZA capturing approximately 52% of the national list vote, anchoring trader consensus at 98.3% for the 50-54% outcome as Péter Magyar's center-right opposition party surges to a projected two-thirds parliamentary majority. Sustained polling averages placed TISZA at 49-51% in the lead-up, bolstered by final Median and 21 Kutatóközpont surveys confirming a 12-point edge over Fidesz amid record 78% turnout signaling anti-incumbent momentum after 16 years of Viktor Orbán's rule. Orbán's concession speech further cements the shift. While rural Fidesz strongholds in remaining tallies could modestly trim TISZA's share below 50%, official trends and seat projections render this unlikely absent irregularities or recounts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Volume
$433,715End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Partial counts from over 70% of precincts in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show TISZA capturing approximately 52% of the national list vote, anchoring trader consensus at 98.3% for the 50-54% outcome as Péter Magyar's center-right opposition party surges to a projected two-thirds parliamentary majority. Sustained polling averages placed TISZA at 49-51% in the lead-up, bolstered by final Median and 21 Kutatóközpont surveys confirming a 12-point edge over Fidesz amid record 78% turnout signaling anti-incumbent momentum after 16 years of Viktor Orbán's rule. Orbán's concession speech further cements the shift. While rural Fidesz strongholds in remaining tallies could modestly trim TISZA's share below 50%, official trends and seat projections render this unlikely absent irregularities or recounts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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