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Elections·Peru

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

Market icon
Elections·Peru

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

López Aliaga & Fujimori 89%

Other 7.8%

Fujimori & Nieto 2.8%

López Aliaga & Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$441,154 Vol.

López Aliaga & Fujimori 89%

Other 7.8%

Fujimori & Nieto 2.8%

López Aliaga & Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$441,154 Vol.

López Aliaga & Fujimori

$84,735 Vol.

89%

Other

$83,246 Vol.

8%

Fujimori & Nieto

$99,710 Vol.

3%

López Aliaga & Nieto

$24,030 Vol.

<1%

López Chau & Fujimori

$62,692 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino

$28,707 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & López Chau

$18,150 Vol.

<1%

López Chau & Nieto

$12,614 Vol.

<1%

López Chau & Sánchez Palomino

$20,211 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & Grozo

$7,100 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Early official results from Peru's April 12, 2026, first-round presidential election, with partial vote counts from urban areas, show right-wing candidate Rafael López Aliaga leading at around 23%, followed closely by Keiko Fujimori at 16-17%, per reports from Ipsos, Datum, and Reuters. This fragmented field of 35 candidates, where no one approached the 50% threshold for outright victory, has solidified trader consensus on their matchup in the June 7 runoff, reflecting pre-election polls that consistently placed the pair atop preferences amid voter priorities on crime, corruption, and instability. Third-place contenders like Jorge Nieto trail significantly, with ongoing rural vote tallies unlikely to alter the top-two order absent major surprises.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$441,154
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Early official results from Peru's April 12, 2026, first-round presidential election, with partial vote counts from urban areas, show right-wing candidate Rafael López Aliaga leading at around 23%, followed closely by Keiko Fujimori at 16-17%, per reports from Ipsos, Datum, and Reuters. This fragmented field of 35 candidates, where no one approached the 50% threshold for outright victory, has solidified trader consensus on their matchup in the June 7 runoff, reflecting pre-election polls that consistently placed the pair atop preferences amid voter priorities on crime, corruption, and instability. Third-place contenders like Jorge Nieto trail significantly, with ongoing rural vote tallies unlikely to alter the top-two order absent major surprises.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$441,154
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

Related

Market icon

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

99%
Market icon

Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

80%
Market icon

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

86%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "López Aliaga & Fujimori" at 89%, followed by "Other" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" has generated $441.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" is "López Aliaga & Fujimori" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Other" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.