Gerrymander predictions & odds

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Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

91%

$358K Vol.

$51.3K Liq.

12

Ends in 7 days

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

26%

Pass 3-6%

$4.8K Vol.

$44.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

87%

$396 Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

$2.0K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

37%

190-194

$204K Vol.

$117K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

74%

$2.2K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

25%

125-130m

$5.8K Vol.

$37.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

$67.3K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$487 Vol.

$54.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

69%

$31.3K Vol.

$50.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

24%

Democrats 6-8%

$30.7K Vol.

$54.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

54%

Democrats Sweep

$5M Vol.

$56.9K today

$589K Liq.

146

Ends in 7 months

OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$817 Vol.

$52.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$204K Liq.

6

IN-03 House Election Winner

IN-03 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$1.0K Vol.

$64.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

AR-03 House Election Winner

AR-03 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$5.4K Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

38%

24–25

$660K Vol.

$74.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

92%

Democratic Party

$7.6K Vol.

$50.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

CO-03 House Election Winner

CO-03 House Election Winner

68%

Republican Party

$636 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

IL-14 House Election Winner

IL-14 House Election Winner

92%

Democratic Party

$3.2K Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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As of today, the most active market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 54% chance to Democrats Sweep. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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