Approval predictions & odds

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How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

40%

35%

$60.9K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Trump approval rating on April 17?

Trump approval rating on April 17?

45%

39.5–39.9

$4.7K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

41%

Up

$1.9K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?

68%

39.0%

$2.7K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

14%

↑ 45%

$3.4K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

73%

Up

$54 Vol.

$157 Liq.

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

30%

Up

$537 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 16 days

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

11%

$146K Vol.

$122K today

$20.9K Liq.

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

34%

$556K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

4%

$9.4K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

79%

Civilian Service Act

$10.0K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

30%

Israel

$252K Vol.

$199K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?

9%

$7.1K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

4%

$14.5K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

8%

$40.4K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 3 months

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

73%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$108K Vol.

$45.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

35%

$46 Vol.

$69 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

29%

$6.4K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

20%

$22.2K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

40%

$13.9K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

7

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Approval.

Polymarket currently hosts 138 active markets for Approval that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “FDA approves Retatrutide this year?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 67% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Approval predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.