President Trump's approval rating currently hovers in the high 30s to low 40s according to polling averages from Nate Silver Bulletin, CNN Poll of Polls, and recent surveys like UMass Lowell/YouGov (39%) and Rasmussen (47%), down sharply from early 2026 amid inflation pressures and backlash to the escalating U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict. Recent declines, including new lows on economy handling (31% CNN approval) and erosion among independents, Latinos, youth, and non-college whites, have driven net negatives to -10 to -29 points. Traders eye 2026 midterms as a pivotal test, with potential upside from economic rebounds, policy successes, or de-escalation abroad, though global tensions and fiscal challenges loom large through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. Β· UpdatedHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
β 44%
12%
β 45%
14%
β 46%
11%
β 47%
5%
β 48%
4%
β 49%
4%
β 50%
6%
$3,373 Vol.
β 44%
$2,513 Vol.
12%
β 45%
$0 Vol.
14%
β 46%
$523 Vol.
11%
β 47%
$0 Vol.
5%
β 48%
$337 Vol.
4%
β 49%
$0 Vol.
4%
β 50%
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to βYesβ if Donald Trumpβs approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNoβ.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating currently hovers in the high 30s to low 40s according to polling averages from Nate Silver Bulletin, CNN Poll of Polls, and recent surveys like UMass Lowell/YouGov (39%) and Rasmussen (47%), down sharply from early 2026 amid inflation pressures and backlash to the escalating U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict. Recent declines, including new lows on economy handling (31% CNN approval) and erosion among independents, Latinos, youth, and non-college whites, have driven net negatives to -10 to -29 points. Traders eye 2026 midterms as a pivotal test, with potential upside from economic rebounds, policy successes, or de-escalation abroad, though global tensions and fiscal challenges loom large through year-end.
This market will resolve to βYesβ if Donald Trumpβs approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNoβ.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$3,373End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to βYesβ if Donald Trumpβs approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNoβ.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating currently hovers in the high 30s to low 40s according to polling averages from Nate Silver Bulletin, CNN Poll of Polls, and recent surveys like UMass Lowell/YouGov (39%) and Rasmussen (47%), down sharply from early 2026 amid inflation pressures and backlash to the escalating U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict. Recent declines, including new lows on economy handling (31% CNN approval) and erosion among independents, Latinos, youth, and non-college whites, have driven net negatives to -10 to -29 points. Traders eye 2026 midterms as a pivotal test, with potential upside from economic rebounds, policy successes, or de-escalation abroad, though global tensions and fiscal challenges loom large through year-end.
This market will resolve to βYesβ if Donald Trumpβs approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNoβ.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$3,373End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating currently hovers in the high 30s to low 40s according to polling averages from Nate Silver Bulletin, CNN Poll of Polls, and recent surveys like UMass Lowell/YouGov (39%) and Rasmussen (47%), down sharply from early 2026 amid inflation pressures and backlash to the escalating U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict. Recent declines, including new lows on economy handling (31% CNN approval) and erosion among independents, Latinos, youth, and non-college whites, have driven net negatives to -10 to -29 points. Traders eye 2026 midterms as a pivotal test, with potential upside from economic rebounds, policy successes, or de-escalation abroad, though global tensions and fiscal challenges loom large through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. Β· Updated
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