Trader consensus favors No at 60.5% implied probability for a federal AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the slim legislative prospects of the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act introduced March 25, 2026, by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Despite public backlash over energy costs and environmental impacts—echoed in recent state actions like Maine's landmark data center pause—the bill faces fierce industry opposition and dismissal as "idiocy" by Sen. Mark Warner, with no significant co-sponsors or committee progress amid the AI infrastructure boom. Key catalysts ahead include potential congressional hearings, but historical patterns for restrictive tech bills suggest entrenched bipartisan support for growth will likely prevail.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$13,885 Vol.
$13,885 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$13,885 Vol.
$13,885 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors No at 60.5% implied probability for a federal AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the slim legislative prospects of the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act introduced March 25, 2026, by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Despite public backlash over energy costs and environmental impacts—echoed in recent state actions like Maine's landmark data center pause—the bill faces fierce industry opposition and dismissal as "idiocy" by Sen. Mark Warner, with no significant co-sponsors or committee progress amid the AI infrastructure boom. Key catalysts ahead include potential congressional hearings, but historical patterns for restrictive tech bills suggest entrenched bipartisan support for growth will likely prevail.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$13,885End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors No at 60.5% implied probability for a federal AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the slim legislative prospects of the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act introduced March 25, 2026, by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Despite public backlash over energy costs and environmental impacts—echoed in recent state actions like Maine's landmark data center pause—the bill faces fierce industry opposition and dismissal as "idiocy" by Sen. Mark Warner, with no significant co-sponsors or committee progress amid the AI infrastructure boom. Key catalysts ahead include potential congressional hearings, but historical patterns for restrictive tech bills suggest entrenched bipartisan support for growth will likely prevail.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,885End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors No at 60.5% implied probability for a federal AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the slim legislative prospects of the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act introduced March 25, 2026, by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Despite public backlash over energy costs and environmental impacts—echoed in recent state actions like Maine's landmark data center pause—the bill faces fierce industry opposition and dismissal as "idiocy" by Sen. Mark Warner, with no significant co-sponsors or committee progress amid the AI infrastructure boom. Key catalysts ahead include potential congressional hearings, but historical patterns for restrictive tech bills suggest entrenched bipartisan support for growth will likely prevail.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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