When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

54%

After April 30

$902K Vol.

$70.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

99%

60+ days

$1M Vol.

$55.8K Liq.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$314K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

11

Ends in 7 months

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

<1%

$80.8K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Number of TSA passengers April 6 - April 12?

Number of TSA passengers April 6 - April 12?

100%

17.5-18m

$38.6K Vol.

$931K Liq.

Number of TSA passengers April 13 - April 19?

Number of TSA passengers April 13 - April 19?

54%

17-17.5m

$8.5K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Number of US Flights Delayed April 12?

Number of US Flights Delayed April 12?

98%

6,500-7,000

$7.8K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

<1%

6,500-7,000

$23.4K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Number of US Flights Delayed April 6?

Number of US Flights Delayed April 6?

39%

6,500-7,000

$19.2K Vol.

$401 Liq.

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

40%

December 31, 2026

$559K Vol.

$684 Liq.

28

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

5%

$103K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

5%

$9.4K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

75%

140-159

$160K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

White House # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

White House # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

31%

160-179

$39.0K Vol.

$34.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

42%

June 30

$7.2K Vol.

$930 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

6%

Fed Rate Cut

$165K Vol.

$51.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?

39%

29°C

$11.4K Vol.

$29.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

55%

$2.5K Vol.

$163 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

15%

Before 2027

$498K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

47

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

35%

April 30

$152K Vol.

$152K today

$84.7K Liq.

11

Ends in 16 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gov Shutdown.

Polymarket currently hosts 604 active markets for Gov Shutdown that lets you track or trade on predictions like “When will the DHS shutdown end?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How long will the DHS shutdown last?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How long will the DHS shutdown last?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to 5+ days. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gov Shutdown predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.