President Trump's April 12 announcement of a potential US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following failed peace talks with Iran, has heightened trader expectations for public statements this week amid escalating tensions. Recent press gaggles on April 10-11 and a phone interview underscore his active media engagement, while the April 13 White House greeting with the Dutch King and Queen, plus ongoing press rotations through April 19, offer platforms for remarks. Polymarket traders price high probabilities on recurring phrases like "Central Casting" (90%), "Epic Fury" (88%), and "Sleepy Joe" (82%), reflecting his rhetorical patterns in foreign policy briefings and historical base rates for such language in high-stakes diplomacy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$57,363 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
Make America Great Again
77%
Transgender
71%
Epic Fury
83%
Sleepy Joe
78%
Ass
50%
Sucker / Loser
61%
Barack Hussein Obama
58%
Hezbollah
52%
Christmas
17%
Boy oh boy
32%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
9%
AOC
32%
Losing MAGA
22%
All over the place
48%
Jesus
39%
Two week / two-week
55%
Gulf of America
69%
See what happens
70%
Six Seven
27%
Peanut
23%
Central Casting
42%
Regarded
57%
Crypto / Bitcoin
29%
No No No
66%
Gay for Palestine
16%
Nuke
32%
Melania
47%
Four to Six
31%
$57,363 Vol.
Make America Great Again
$4,537 Vol.
77%
Transgender
$3,212 Vol.
71%
Epic Fury
$2,810 Vol.
83%
Sleepy Joe
$5,646 Vol.
78%
Ass
$1,519 Vol.
50%
Sucker / Loser
$1,518 Vol.
61%
Barack Hussein Obama
$1,313 Vol.
58%
Hezbollah
$296 Vol.
52%
Christmas
$195 Vol.
17%
Boy oh boy
$2,936 Vol.
32%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
$5,558 Vol.
9%
AOC
$104 Vol.
32%
Losing MAGA
$3,064 Vol.
22%
All over the place
$2,875 Vol.
48%
Jesus
$6,320 Vol.
39%
Two week / two-week
$4,422 Vol.
55%
Gulf of America
$232 Vol.
69%
See what happens
$2,225 Vol.
70%
Six Seven
$3,331 Vol.
27%
Peanut
$214 Vol.
23%
Central Casting
$14 Vol.
42%
Regarded
$153 Vol.
57%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$3,644 Vol.
29%
No No No
$308 Vol.
66%
Gay for Palestine
$163 Vol.
16%
Nuke
$132 Vol.
32%
Melania
$613 Vol.
47%
Four to Six
$12 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's April 12 announcement of a potential US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following failed peace talks with Iran, has heightened trader expectations for public statements this week amid escalating tensions. Recent press gaggles on April 10-11 and a phone interview underscore his active media engagement, while the April 13 White House greeting with the Dutch King and Queen, plus ongoing press rotations through April 19, offer platforms for remarks. Polymarket traders price high probabilities on recurring phrases like "Central Casting" (90%), "Epic Fury" (88%), and "Sleepy Joe" (82%), reflecting his rhetorical patterns in foreign policy briefings and historical base rates for such language in high-stakes diplomacy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$57,363End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's April 12 announcement of a potential US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following failed peace talks with Iran, has heightened trader expectations for public statements this week amid escalating tensions. Recent press gaggles on April 10-11 and a phone interview underscore his active media engagement, while the April 13 White House greeting with the Dutch King and Queen, plus ongoing press rotations through April 19, offer platforms for remarks. Polymarket traders price high probabilities on recurring phrases like "Central Casting" (90%), "Epic Fury" (88%), and "Sleepy Joe" (82%), reflecting his rhetorical patterns in foreign policy briefings and historical base rates for such language in high-stakes diplomacy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$57,363End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 12 announcement of a potential US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following failed peace talks with Iran, has heightened trader expectations for public statements this week amid escalating tensions. Recent press gaggles on April 10-11 and a phone interview underscore his active media engagement, while the April 13 White House greeting with the Dutch King and Queen, plus ongoing press rotations through April 19, offer platforms for remarks. Polymarket traders price high probabilities on recurring phrases like "Central Casting" (90%), "Epic Fury" (88%), and "Sleepy Joe" (82%), reflecting his rhetorical patterns in foreign policy briefings and historical base rates for such language in high-stakes diplomacy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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