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Politics·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

Market icon
Politics·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

Apr 30

Apr 30

After April 30 55.6%

Arpil 21-24 12.7%

April 17-20 10.0%

April 13-16 8.8%

Polymarket

$904,245 Vol.

After April 30 55.6%

Arpil 21-24 12.7%

April 17-20 10.0%

April 13-16 8.8%

Polymarket

$904,245 Vol.

April 13-16

$44,630 Vol.

9%

April 17-20

$400,775 Vol.

10%

Arpil 21-24

$49,186 Vol.

13%

April 25-28

$12,190 Vol.

5%

April 29-30

$12,769 Vol.

5%

After April 30

$145,333 Vol.

56%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.A partisan deadlock in Congress over DHS funding tied to immigration enforcement reforms has prolonged the partial shutdown beyond six weeks—the longest in U.S. history—driving trader consensus to 56% odds for resolution after April 30. Recent House refusal to advance a Republican-backed bill, coupled with Democrats withdrawing support post a fatal CBP incident, stalled progress despite an intra-GOP deal announced April 1. Lawmakers returned from recess this week amid persistent pay uncertainty for DHS employees, including TSA officers, with upcoming floor votes and whip counts pivotal. Executive actions recalling furloughed staff offer interim relief, but full appropriations await legislative compromise.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$904,245
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.A partisan deadlock in Congress over DHS funding tied to immigration enforcement reforms has prolonged the partial shutdown beyond six weeks—the longest in U.S. history—driving trader consensus to 56% odds for resolution after April 30. Recent House refusal to advance a Republican-backed bill, coupled with Democrats withdrawing support post a fatal CBP incident, stalled progress despite an intra-GOP deal announced April 1. Lawmakers returned from recess this week amid persistent pay uncertainty for DHS employees, including TSA officers, with upcoming floor votes and whip counts pivotal. Executive actions recalling furloughed staff offer interim relief, but full appropriations await legislative compromise.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$904,245
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"When will the DHS shutdown end?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "After April 30" at 56%, followed by "Arpil 21-24" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "When will the DHS shutdown end?" has generated $904.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "When will the DHS shutdown end?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "When will the DHS shutdown end?" is "After April 30" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arpil 21-24" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "When will the DHS shutdown end?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.