Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 13-19 at 53.5%, reflecting sustained daily throughput averaging 2.4 million in the prior week, with April 9 at 2.69 million, April 8 at 2.28 million, April 7 at 2.21 million, and April 6 at 2.71 million. Post-spring break and Easter (April 5) volumes have stabilized at elevated levels after record March-April demand projected at 171 million passengers, despite TSA staffing strains from partial DHS funding delays causing longer security lines and officer shortages. The 17.5-18 million outcome at 37.5% accounts for potential weekend peaks, while lower ranges trail amid no signals of demand drop-off or major disruptions like weather or cancellations. Forecasts like Metaculus align at 17.1 million, underscoring closely contested mid-17 million positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated17-17.5m 54%
17.5-18m 36%
16.5-17m 21%
18-18.5m 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
<16.5m
2%
16.5-17m
21%
17-17.5m
54%
17.5-18m
36%
18-18.5m
12%
>18.5m
2%
17-17.5m 54%
17.5-18m 36%
16.5-17m 21%
18-18.5m 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
<16.5m
$8,337 Vol.
2%
16.5-17m
$7 Vol.
21%
17-17.5m
$7 Vol.
54%
17.5-18m
$22 Vol.
36%
18-18.5m
$21 Vol.
12%
>18.5m
$46 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 13-19 at 53.5%, reflecting sustained daily throughput averaging 2.4 million in the prior week, with April 9 at 2.69 million, April 8 at 2.28 million, April 7 at 2.21 million, and April 6 at 2.71 million. Post-spring break and Easter (April 5) volumes have stabilized at elevated levels after record March-April demand projected at 171 million passengers, despite TSA staffing strains from partial DHS funding delays causing longer security lines and officer shortages. The 17.5-18 million outcome at 37.5% accounts for potential weekend peaks, while lower ranges trail amid no signals of demand drop-off or major disruptions like weather or cancellations. Forecasts like Metaculus align at 17.1 million, underscoring closely contested mid-17 million positioning.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Volume
$8,441End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 13-19 at 53.5%, reflecting sustained daily throughput averaging 2.4 million in the prior week, with April 9 at 2.69 million, April 8 at 2.28 million, April 7 at 2.21 million, and April 6 at 2.71 million. Post-spring break and Easter (April 5) volumes have stabilized at elevated levels after record March-April demand projected at 171 million passengers, despite TSA staffing strains from partial DHS funding delays causing longer security lines and officer shortages. The 17.5-18 million outcome at 37.5% accounts for potential weekend peaks, while lower ranges trail amid no signals of demand drop-off or major disruptions like weather or cancellations. Forecasts like Metaculus align at 17.1 million, underscoring closely contested mid-17 million positioning.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$8,441End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 13-19 at 53.5%, reflecting sustained daily throughput averaging 2.4 million in the prior week, with April 9 at 2.69 million, April 8 at 2.28 million, April 7 at 2.21 million, and April 6 at 2.71 million. Post-spring break and Easter (April 5) volumes have stabilized at elevated levels after record March-April demand projected at 171 million passengers, despite TSA staffing strains from partial DHS funding delays causing longer security lines and officer shortages. The 17.5-18 million outcome at 37.5% accounts for potential weekend peaks, while lower ranges trail amid no signals of demand drop-off or major disruptions like weather or cancellations. Forecasts like Metaculus align at 17.1 million, underscoring closely contested mid-17 million positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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