2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

18%

Democrats 4-6%

$30.6K Vol.

$48.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

27%

$216 Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

65%

$3.2K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

48%

$23.2K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

87%

$31.5K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

89%

Democrats (D)

$172K Vol.

$59.2K Liq.

3

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$805K Liq.

63

Ends in over 2 years

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

95%

Moderates

$66.8K Vol.

$55.8K Liq.

9

Montana Senate Election Winner

Montana Senate Election Winner

80%

Republican

$61.0K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

71%

Republican

$96.7K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

81%

Plaid Cymru

$30.4K Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 23 days

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

86%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$100K Liq.

7

Ends in 5 months

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

95%

Democrat

$18.5K Vol.

$54.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Vermont Governor Election Winner

80%

Republican

$12.0K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Wyoming Governor Election Winner

Wyoming Governor Election Winner

93%

Republican

$5.7K Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

57%

Republican

$175K Vol.

$71.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 7 months

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Michigan Governor Election Winner

65%

Democrat

$173K Vol.

$57.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Colorado Governor Election Winner

Colorado Governor Election Winner

92%

Democrat

$10.3K Vol.

$42.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Arizona Governor Election Winner

75%

Democrat

$39.8K Vol.

$46.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Iowa Governor Election Winner

65%

Democrat

$27.0K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Democrats.

Polymarket currently hosts 254 active markets for Democrats that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Blue tsunami in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 61% chance to Democratic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Democrats predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.