Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92% implied probability to win Colorado's open 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by the state's leftward shift—no Republican victory since 2002—and a fragmented GOP primary field where no candidate has emerged dominant despite recent state assembly wins for Rep. Scott Bottoms. Democratic contenders U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet and Attorney General Phil Weiser dominate polls, with Bennet leading the primary by +31 in a recent Global Strategy Group survey and general election matchups showing Democrats ahead by 12 points per Magellan Strategies. A March 20-25 Colorado Polling Institute poll highlights voter economic pessimism and dipping favorability for Gov. Jared Polis (net -4) and Bennet (even), yet party registration edges and historical incumbency advantages sustain the lopsided odds. Primary consolidation for a strong GOP nominee, a major Democratic scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave could shift dynamics ahead of the June 30 primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedColorado Governor Election Winner
Colorado Governor Election Winner
$10,251 Vol.
$10,251 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
6%
$10,251 Vol.
$10,251 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$5,486 Vol.
92%
Republican
$4,765 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92% implied probability to win Colorado's open 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by the state's leftward shift—no Republican victory since 2002—and a fragmented GOP primary field where no candidate has emerged dominant despite recent state assembly wins for Rep. Scott Bottoms. Democratic contenders U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet and Attorney General Phil Weiser dominate polls, with Bennet leading the primary by +31 in a recent Global Strategy Group survey and general election matchups showing Democrats ahead by 12 points per Magellan Strategies. A March 20-25 Colorado Polling Institute poll highlights voter economic pessimism and dipping favorability for Gov. Jared Polis (net -4) and Bennet (even), yet party registration edges and historical incumbency advantages sustain the lopsided odds. Primary consolidation for a strong GOP nominee, a major Democratic scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave could shift dynamics ahead of the June 30 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$10,251End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92% implied probability to win Colorado's open 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by the state's leftward shift—no Republican victory since 2002—and a fragmented GOP primary field where no candidate has emerged dominant despite recent state assembly wins for Rep. Scott Bottoms. Democratic contenders U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet and Attorney General Phil Weiser dominate polls, with Bennet leading the primary by +31 in a recent Global Strategy Group survey and general election matchups showing Democrats ahead by 12 points per Magellan Strategies. A March 20-25 Colorado Polling Institute poll highlights voter economic pessimism and dipping favorability for Gov. Jared Polis (net -4) and Bennet (even), yet party registration edges and historical incumbency advantages sustain the lopsided odds. Primary consolidation for a strong GOP nominee, a major Democratic scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave could shift dynamics ahead of the June 30 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$10,251End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92% implied probability to win Colorado's open 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by the state's leftward shift—no Republican victory since 2002—and a fragmented GOP primary field where no candidate has emerged dominant despite recent state assembly wins for Rep. Scott Bottoms. Democratic contenders U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet and Attorney General Phil Weiser dominate polls, with Bennet leading the primary by +31 in a recent Global Strategy Group survey and general election matchups showing Democrats ahead by 12 points per Magellan Strategies. A March 20-25 Colorado Polling Institute poll highlights voter economic pessimism and dipping favorability for Gov. Jared Polis (net -4) and Bennet (even), yet party registration edges and historical incumbency advantages sustain the lopsided odds. Primary consolidation for a strong GOP nominee, a major Democratic scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave could shift dynamics ahead of the June 30 primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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