Constitutional Convention predictions & odds

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Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

55%

$6.0K Vol.

$374 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

10%

$11.5K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

29%

$267 Vol.

$510 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

30%

$196 Vol.

$698 Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

74%

$17 Vol.

$987 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

91%

$358K Vol.

$50.7K Liq.

12

Ends in 7 days

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

87%

July 31

$936K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

77%

$0 Vol.

$529 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

19%

$11.1K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

20%

$429 Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

69%

$31.3K Vol.

$57.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

61%

$2.5K Vol.

$171 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

44%

$277 Vol.

$734 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

84%

$21.0K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

26%

Pass 3-6%

$4.8K Vol.

$48.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

97%

FP

$121K Vol.

$57.4K Liq.

2

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

44%

250 / 250th

$1 Vol.

$509 Liq.

Ends in 14 days

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

87%

$396 Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

98%

FP

$69.5K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

2

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

15%

$587 Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Constitutional Convention.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Constitutional Convention that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 45% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Constitutional Convention predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.