Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, barred from office and recently awarded the Nobel Peace Prize, has remained in exile since late 2025 amid regime persecution, but announced plans to return in early March 2026 following U.S. forces' seizure of Nicolás Maduro and a leadership transition to interim figures like Delcy Rodríguez, on whom sanctions were lifted April 2. Opposition leaders report Machado is coordinating with U.S. officials for a safe entry, potentially by late April, as regime remnants control key institutions including security forces and borders. Recent diaspora rallies in Chile and energy sector talks signal momentum, though risks of arrest or confrontation persist; traders eye U.S. diplomatic pressures, official statements, and border activity before the market's April 30 resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
$5,537,111 Vol.

April 30
9%

May 31
25%

June 30
46%
$5,537,111 Vol.

April 30
9%

May 31
25%

June 30
46%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, barred from office and recently awarded the Nobel Peace Prize, has remained in exile since late 2025 amid regime persecution, but announced plans to return in early March 2026 following U.S. forces' seizure of Nicolás Maduro and a leadership transition to interim figures like Delcy Rodríguez, on whom sanctions were lifted April 2. Opposition leaders report Machado is coordinating with U.S. officials for a safe entry, potentially by late April, as regime remnants control key institutions including security forces and borders. Recent diaspora rallies in Chile and energy sector talks signal momentum, though risks of arrest or confrontation persist; traders eye U.S. diplomatic pressures, official statements, and border activity before the market's April 30 resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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