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Politics·Venezuela

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

Market icon
Politics·Venezuela

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

$513,023 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$513,023 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$20,821 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Nicolás Maduro's capture by U.S. forces in early January 2026, Venezuela entered a leadership vacuum, with Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assuming interim control amid disputed succession claims. Opposition leaders, unified behind María Corina Machado as their presidential candidate on April 12, demand snap elections within the 90-day constitutional window for replacements, citing the illegitimacy of Maduro's 2024-2031 term. However, the National Assembly—inaugurated for 2026-2031—previously ruled out near-term polls in February, prioritizing stability. Traders assess skin-in-the-game probabilities based on this tension between opposition pressure, international calls for transition like U.S. Senator Rubio's, and institutional resistance, with no firm date announced and potential National Assembly votes looming.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$513,023
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Nicolás Maduro's capture by U.S. forces in early January 2026, Venezuela entered a leadership vacuum, with Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assuming interim control amid disputed succession claims. Opposition leaders, unified behind María Corina Machado as their presidential candidate on April 12, demand snap elections within the 90-day constitutional window for replacements, citing the illegitimacy of Maduro's 2024-2031 term. However, the National Assembly—inaugurated for 2026-2031—previously ruled out near-term polls in February, prioritizing stability. Traders assess skin-in-the-game probabilities based on this tension between opposition pressure, international calls for transition like U.S. Senator Rubio's, and institutional resistance, with no firm date announced and potential National Assembly votes looming.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$513,023
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 43%, followed by "January 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?" has generated $513K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?" is "December 31" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "January 31" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.