Trader consensus on Polymarket prices ranges of 25-29 posts (41.5%) and 30-34 posts (41%) as near-equals for Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) from April 10-17, mirroring the prior week's resolved 20-24 total, while 5-9 posts trails closely at 39% amid zero activity since the market opened April 10 at 12 PM ET. This tightness stems from the account's consistent historical pace of roughly 3-4 posts daily—sharing archival statements—clashing with a post-assassination pause following February 28 U.S.-Israel strikes that killed Khamenei, whose bio now lists him as "martyred." Recent 40-day mourning observances ending April 9-10 suppressed output, but ongoing U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad (no deal April 12) or transition signals under new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei could spur resumption, tipping toward higher bins, versus prolonged silence favoring lower outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?
25-29 31%
<5 22%
45-49 3.1%
50-54 3.1%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
<5
22%
5-9
39%
10-14
35%
15-19
35%
20-24
33%
25-29
31%
30-34
41%
35-39
35%
40-44
3%
45-49
3%
50-54
3%
55-59
2%
60+
1%
25-29 31%
<5 22%
45-49 3.1%
50-54 3.1%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
<5
$531 Vol.
22%
5-9
$22 Vol.
39%
10-14
$22 Vol.
35%
15-19
$22 Vol.
35%
20-24
$37 Vol.
33%
25-29
$170 Vol.
31%
30-34
$50 Vol.
41%
35-39
$48 Vol.
35%
40-44
$63 Vol.
3%
45-49
$113 Vol.
3%
50-54
$128 Vol.
3%
55-59
$189 Vol.
2%
60+
$569 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices ranges of 25-29 posts (41.5%) and 30-34 posts (41%) as near-equals for Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) from April 10-17, mirroring the prior week's resolved 20-24 total, while 5-9 posts trails closely at 39% amid zero activity since the market opened April 10 at 12 PM ET. This tightness stems from the account's consistent historical pace of roughly 3-4 posts daily—sharing archival statements—clashing with a post-assassination pause following February 28 U.S.-Israel strikes that killed Khamenei, whose bio now lists him as "martyred." Recent 40-day mourning observances ending April 9-10 suppressed output, but ongoing U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad (no deal April 12) or transition signals under new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei could spur resumption, tipping toward higher bins, versus prolonged silence favoring lower outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,965End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices ranges of 25-29 posts (41.5%) and 30-34 posts (41%) as near-equals for Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) from April 10-17, mirroring the prior week's resolved 20-24 total, while 5-9 posts trails closely at 39% amid zero activity since the market opened April 10 at 12 PM ET. This tightness stems from the account's consistent historical pace of roughly 3-4 posts daily—sharing archival statements—clashing with a post-assassination pause following February 28 U.S.-Israel strikes that killed Khamenei, whose bio now lists him as "martyred." Recent 40-day mourning observances ending April 9-10 suppressed output, but ongoing U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad (no deal April 12) or transition signals under new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei could spur resumption, tipping toward higher bins, versus prolonged silence favoring lower outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,965End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices ranges of 25-29 posts (41.5%) and 30-34 posts (41%) as near-equals for Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) from April 10-17, mirroring the prior week's resolved 20-24 total, while 5-9 posts trails closely at 39% amid zero activity since the market opened April 10 at 12 PM ET. This tightness stems from the account's consistent historical pace of roughly 3-4 posts daily—sharing archival statements—clashing with a post-assassination pause following February 28 U.S.-Israel strikes that killed Khamenei, whose bio now lists him as "martyred." Recent 40-day mourning observances ending April 9-10 suppressed output, but ongoing U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad (no deal April 12) or transition signals under new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei could spur resumption, tipping toward higher bins, versus prolonged silence favoring lower outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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