Market icon
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Apr 14

Apr 17

Apr 21

Apr 14

Apr 17

Apr 21

TWEET COUNT
18
Time left
TWEETS
18
Time left

20-24 43%

30-34 16.0%

15-19 7.1%

35-39 2.9%

Polymarket
NEW

20-24 43%

30-34 16.0%

15-19 7.1%

35-39 2.9%

Polymarket
NEW

15-19

$750 Vol.

13%

20-24

$269 Vol.

43%

25-29

$267 Vol.

41%

30-34

$265 Vol.

16%

35-39

$544 Vol.

3%

40-44

$235 Vol.

3%

45-49

$277 Vol.

2%

50-54

$377 Vol.

3%

55-59

$804 Vol.

<1%

60+

$857 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 20-24 posts range at 50.5% for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account @khamenei_ir from April 7, 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 12:00 PM ET, slightly ahead of 25-29 at 42.5%, reflecting the account's steady cadence of 3-4 archival statements daily amid Iran's ongoing military escalations and US-Israel tensions. With April 13 underway and resolution imminent, the tight race hinges on the observed tally through early April—bolstered by timely reposts like the April 7 "Zionists" statement—and consistent pace from prior weeks averaging 15-25 posts. Separation could emerge from a late surge tied to breaking diplomatic announcements, airstrikes, or ceasefire signals, or a slowdown if institutional handlers pause amid domestic pressures.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,593
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 20-24 posts range at 50.5% for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account @khamenei_ir from April 7, 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 12:00 PM ET, slightly ahead of 25-29 at 42.5%, reflecting the account's steady cadence of 3-4 archival statements daily amid Iran's ongoing military escalations and US-Israel tensions. With April 13 underway and resolution imminent, the tight race hinges on the observed tally through early April—bolstered by timely reposts like the April 7 "Zionists" statement—and consistent pace from prior weeks averaging 15-25 posts. Separation could emerge from a late surge tied to breaking diplomatic announcements, airstrikes, or ceasefire signals, or a slowdown if institutional handlers pause amid domestic pressures.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,593
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-24" at 44%, followed by "25-29" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is "20-24" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25-29" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.