Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 Truth Social posts range by Donald Trump from April 10-17 at 34.5%, closely trailed by 80-99 at 27%, reflecting uncertainty over his posting pace amid U.S.-Iran tensions. As of April 13, he has made about 29 posts over the first four days—15 on April 10, 8 on April 11, and 6 on April 12—averaging below his 2025 daily norm of 18, with weekend dips offsetting earlier highs driven by Strait of Hormuz blockade announcements, profane ultimatums, and military updates. The race stays tight due to variable daily output tied to foreign policy escalations, tariffs, and nominations; a surge from April 14 "Power Plant Day" deadlines or de-escalation signals could push toward 120+, while quieter diplomacy favors lower bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated100-119 35%
80-99 26%
120-139 24%
140-159 4.5%
$78,146 Vol.
$78,146 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
40-59
1%
60-79
2%
80-99
26%
100-119
35%
120-139
24%
140-159
5%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200+
1%
100-119 35%
80-99 26%
120-139 24%
140-159 4.5%
$78,146 Vol.
$78,146 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
40-59
$7,583 Vol.
1%
60-79
$5,254 Vol.
2%
80-99
$2,282 Vol.
26%
100-119
$1,564 Vol.
35%
120-139
$3,153 Vol.
24%
140-159
$3,175 Vol.
5%
160-179
$2,159 Vol.
1%
180-199
$1,854 Vol.
1%
200+
$3,509 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 Truth Social posts range by Donald Trump from April 10-17 at 34.5%, closely trailed by 80-99 at 27%, reflecting uncertainty over his posting pace amid U.S.-Iran tensions. As of April 13, he has made about 29 posts over the first four days—15 on April 10, 8 on April 11, and 6 on April 12—averaging below his 2025 daily norm of 18, with weekend dips offsetting earlier highs driven by Strait of Hormuz blockade announcements, profane ultimatums, and military updates. The race stays tight due to variable daily output tied to foreign policy escalations, tariffs, and nominations; a surge from April 14 "Power Plant Day" deadlines or de-escalation signals could push toward 120+, while quieter diplomacy favors lower bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$78,146End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 Truth Social posts range by Donald Trump from April 10-17 at 34.5%, closely trailed by 80-99 at 27%, reflecting uncertainty over his posting pace amid U.S.-Iran tensions. As of April 13, he has made about 29 posts over the first four days—15 on April 10, 8 on April 11, and 6 on April 12—averaging below his 2025 daily norm of 18, with weekend dips offsetting earlier highs driven by Strait of Hormuz blockade announcements, profane ultimatums, and military updates. The race stays tight due to variable daily output tied to foreign policy escalations, tariffs, and nominations; a surge from April 14 "Power Plant Day" deadlines or de-escalation signals could push toward 120+, while quieter diplomacy favors lower bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$78,146End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 Truth Social posts range by Donald Trump from April 10-17 at 34.5%, closely trailed by 80-99 at 27%, reflecting uncertainty over his posting pace amid U.S.-Iran tensions. As of April 13, he has made about 29 posts over the first four days—15 on April 10, 8 on April 11, and 6 on April 12—averaging below his 2025 daily norm of 18, with weekend dips offsetting earlier highs driven by Strait of Hormuz blockade announcements, profane ultimatums, and military updates. The race stays tight due to variable daily output tied to foreign policy escalations, tariffs, and nominations; a surge from April 14 "Power Plant Day" deadlines or de-escalation signals could push toward 120+, while quieter diplomacy favors lower bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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