Trader consensus prices Gulf of Trump at 99% likelihood amid President Trump's recent Truth Social threats targeting the Strait of Hormuz during escalated Iran strikes on power plants and bridges, signaling potential rebranding in ongoing military posturing. TrumpRX.gov follows at 52%, tied to administration pushes for prescription drug reforms, while Trump Derangement Syndrome sits at 50% given frequent rhetorical use in public addresses. Fresh April 10 renderings of a proposed 250-foot "Arc de Trump" victory arch near Arlington have lifted its odds to around 45%, though legal hurdles loom. No confirmations yet through April 13 press gaggles or speeches; markets track until April 30 across Truth Social, briefings, and events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$193,864 Vol.
Arc de Trump / Arch de Trump / Trump Arch
44%
Donroe Doctrine / Trump Doctrine
42%
Mount Trump / Mount Trumpmore
19%
Strait of Trump / Trump Strait
11%
Trump Account
45%
Trump Card / Trump Gold Card
44%
Trump Coin
29%
Trump Derangement Syndrome
36%
Trump Force One
43%
Trump International Airport / Trump Airport
52%
Trump National / Trump International
43%
Trump Organization
43%
Trump Peace / Trump Accord
44%
Trump Time
43%
Trump Tower / Trump Towers
46%
Trump Turnberry
43%
Trump University
8%
Trump Vodka / Trump Steak
2%
Trump-Class / Trump Fleet
15%
Trump-Kennedy Center / Trump Kennedy
16%
TrumpRX / TrumpRX Dot Gov
51%
$193,864 Vol.
Arc de Trump / Arch de Trump / Trump Arch
44%
Donroe Doctrine / Trump Doctrine
42%
Mount Trump / Mount Trumpmore
19%
Strait of Trump / Trump Strait
11%
Trump Account
45%
Trump Card / Trump Gold Card
44%
Trump Coin
29%
Trump Derangement Syndrome
36%
Trump Force One
43%
Trump International Airport / Trump Airport
52%
Trump National / Trump International
43%
Trump Organization
43%
Trump Peace / Trump Accord
44%
Trump Time
43%
Trump Tower / Trump Towers
46%
Trump Turnberry
43%
Trump University
8%
Trump Vodka / Trump Steak
2%
Trump-Class / Trump Fleet
15%
Trump-Kennedy Center / Trump Kennedy
16%
TrumpRX / TrumpRX Dot Gov
51%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices Gulf of Trump at 99% likelihood amid President Trump's recent Truth Social threats targeting the Strait of Hormuz during escalated Iran strikes on power plants and bridges, signaling potential rebranding in ongoing military posturing. TrumpRX.gov follows at 52%, tied to administration pushes for prescription drug reforms, while Trump Derangement Syndrome sits at 50% given frequent rhetorical use in public addresses. Fresh April 10 renderings of a proposed 250-foot "Arc de Trump" victory arch near Arlington have lifted its odds to around 45%, though legal hurdles loom. No confirmations yet through April 13 press gaggles or speeches; markets track until April 30 across Truth Social, briefings, and events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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