President Trump's Truth Social posting has averaged 16 posts per day through April 12, totaling 94 over the first six days of the April 7-14 window, projecting a final tally of 120-139 that aligns with trader consensus at 86%. This sustained high volume stems from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including recent expletive-laden threats to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, warnings of strikes on Iranian power plants and bridges, and announcements of temporary military pauses following talks with Pakistan—prompting frequent real-time updates from the White House. His 2025-2026 historical average of 15-18 daily posts amid foreign policy crises bolsters the leading outcome, though intensification could push toward 140+, per 12% implied odds, with resolution post-April 14.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated120-139 86%
140-159 11.1%
100-119 1.1%
160-179 <1%
$273,913 Vol.
$273,913 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
100-119
1%
120-139
86%
140-159
11%
160-179
1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
120-139 86%
140-159 11.1%
100-119 1.1%
160-179 <1%
$273,913 Vol.
$273,913 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
100-119
$28,633 Vol.
1%
120-139
$22,931 Vol.
86%
140-159
$19,604 Vol.
11%
160-179
$14,418 Vol.
1%
180-199
$12,694 Vol.
<1%
200+
$17,396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's Truth Social posting has averaged 16 posts per day through April 12, totaling 94 over the first six days of the April 7-14 window, projecting a final tally of 120-139 that aligns with trader consensus at 86%. This sustained high volume stems from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including recent expletive-laden threats to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, warnings of strikes on Iranian power plants and bridges, and announcements of temporary military pauses following talks with Pakistan—prompting frequent real-time updates from the White House. His 2025-2026 historical average of 15-18 daily posts amid foreign policy crises bolsters the leading outcome, though intensification could push toward 140+, per 12% implied odds, with resolution post-April 14.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$273,913End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's Truth Social posting has averaged 16 posts per day through April 12, totaling 94 over the first six days of the April 7-14 window, projecting a final tally of 120-139 that aligns with trader consensus at 86%. This sustained high volume stems from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including recent expletive-laden threats to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, warnings of strikes on Iranian power plants and bridges, and announcements of temporary military pauses following talks with Pakistan—prompting frequent real-time updates from the White House. His 2025-2026 historical average of 15-18 daily posts amid foreign policy crises bolsters the leading outcome, though intensification could push toward 140+, per 12% implied odds, with resolution post-April 14.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$273,913End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's Truth Social posting has averaged 16 posts per day through April 12, totaling 94 over the first six days of the April 7-14 window, projecting a final tally of 120-139 that aligns with trader consensus at 86%. This sustained high volume stems from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including recent expletive-laden threats to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, warnings of strikes on Iranian power plants and bridges, and announcements of temporary military pauses following talks with Pakistan—prompting frequent real-time updates from the White House. His 2025-2026 historical average of 15-18 daily posts amid foreign policy crises bolsters the leading outcome, though intensification could push toward 140+, per 12% implied odds, with resolution post-April 14.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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