Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

64%

Pakistan

$6.9K Vol.

$70.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

39%

$1M Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

52%

$596K Vol.

$36.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

15%

$1M Vol.

$95.4K today

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

8%

June 30

$585K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

37

Ends in 3 months

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

48%

December 31

$521K Vol.

$80.2K today

$78.4K Liq.

7

Ends in 9 months

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

7%

$680K Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

35%

$28.3K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

21%

$270K Vol.

$36.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

17%

Oil Sanction Relief

$318K Vol.

$100K today

$78.9K Liq.

14

Ends in 16 days

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

11%

$5.8K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

20%

$22.2K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

6%

Fed Rate Cut

$165K Vol.

$37.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

10%

$139K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

15%

$547K Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

19%

$2M Vol.

$77.4K today

$94.9K Liq.

34

Ends in about 2 months

Russia nuclear test by...?

Russia nuclear test by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$38.3K Liq.

7

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

10%

$106K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

8%

April 30

$151K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

28%

$107K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nuclear Deal.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Nuclear Deal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Russia nuclear test by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 82% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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