Recent collapse of US-Iran nuclear talks in Islamabad and weekend negotiations without agreement has solidified trader consensus at 79% against Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, as Tehran insists on its sovereign right to continue the activity amid stalled diplomacy. IAEA reports confirm Iran's ongoing production of highly enriched uranium stockpiles near weapons-grade levels, with no verified commitments to halt or dismantle facilities despite earlier signals of potential stockpile turnover on April 8. President Trump's demands for zero enrichment clash with Iran's 10-point plan requiring sanction relief first, while prior strikes on Natanz and other sites have not deterred program advances, leaving slim prospects for a pre-deadline deal absent major breakthroughs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$269,385 Vol.
$269,385 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$269,385 Vol.
$269,385 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent collapse of US-Iran nuclear talks in Islamabad and weekend negotiations without agreement has solidified trader consensus at 79% against Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, as Tehran insists on its sovereign right to continue the activity amid stalled diplomacy. IAEA reports confirm Iran's ongoing production of highly enriched uranium stockpiles near weapons-grade levels, with no verified commitments to halt or dismantle facilities despite earlier signals of potential stockpile turnover on April 8. President Trump's demands for zero enrichment clash with Iran's 10-point plan requiring sanction relief first, while prior strikes on Natanz and other sites have not deterred program advances, leaving slim prospects for a pre-deadline deal absent major breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volume
$269,385End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent collapse of US-Iran nuclear talks in Islamabad and weekend negotiations without agreement has solidified trader consensus at 79% against Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, as Tehran insists on its sovereign right to continue the activity amid stalled diplomacy. IAEA reports confirm Iran's ongoing production of highly enriched uranium stockpiles near weapons-grade levels, with no verified commitments to halt or dismantle facilities despite earlier signals of potential stockpile turnover on April 8. President Trump's demands for zero enrichment clash with Iran's 10-point plan requiring sanction relief first, while prior strikes on Natanz and other sites have not deterred program advances, leaving slim prospects for a pre-deadline deal absent major breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$269,385End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent collapse of US-Iran nuclear talks in Islamabad and weekend negotiations without agreement has solidified trader consensus at 79% against Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, as Tehran insists on its sovereign right to continue the activity amid stalled diplomacy. IAEA reports confirm Iran's ongoing production of highly enriched uranium stockpiles near weapons-grade levels, with no verified commitments to halt or dismantle facilities despite earlier signals of potential stockpile turnover on April 8. President Trump's demands for zero enrichment clash with Iran's 10-point plan requiring sanction relief first, while prior strikes on Natanz and other sites have not deterred program advances, leaving slim prospects for a pre-deadline deal absent major breakthroughs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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