Constitution predictions & odds

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Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

78%

$0 Vol.

$486 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

30%

$196 Vol.

$696 Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

45%

$6.0K Vol.

$303 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

2%

$30M Vol.

$618K today

$1M Liq.

3

Ends in 16 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

11%

$30M Vol.

$437K today

$504K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

23%

$15M Vol.

$85.0K today

$345K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

7%

$1M Vol.

$54.9K today

$374K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

91%

$358K Vol.

$36.4K Liq.

12

Ends in 7 days

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

91%

$536K Vol.

$45.1K Liq.

59

Ends in 3 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

26%

Pass 3-6%

$4.8K Vol.

$45.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

7%

$6.8K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

11%

$13.3K Vol.

$58.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

8%

$40.4K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

9

Ends in 3 months

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

45%

$267 Vol.

$221 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

10%

$11.5K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

99%

$448K Vol.

$272K today

$35.1K Liq.

6

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$220K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

63%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$6M Vol.

$890K Liq.

86

Ends in 9 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

11%

$1M Vol.

$105K Liq.

34

Ends in 9 months

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

3%

$14.0K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Constitution.

Polymarket currently hosts 135 active markets for Constitution that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $91.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran leader end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Constitution predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.