President Trump's April 12 announcement of a U.S. Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following collapsed peace talks with Iran in Pakistan, dominates trader consensus after the market period ended at 11:59 PM ET on April 12. This escalation from an earlier two-week ceasefire agreed around April 7 underscores ongoing tensions over Iran's nuclear program and Strait access, prompting frequent White House press conferences laced with threats to infrastructure but no mentions of quirky terms like "two weeks," "crypto/Bitcoin," "witch," or "Kharg Island." Low Yes prices across outcomes reflect verified transcripts showing standard foreign policy rhetoric amid diplomatic deadlines and ally coordination, with resolution pending official sources. No scheduled events noted post-period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$190,307 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Make America Great Again
Yes
Epic Fury
Yes
South Korea
Yes
Pam / Bondi
No
Lee / Zeldin
No
Moon
Yes
Stone Age
Yes
Boots on the ground
No
Delcy / Rodriguez
No
Kharg Island
No
Predict / Prediction / Predicted
Yes
Czar
Yes
King Charles
No
Paper Tiger
Yes
Two weeks
No
Tube
No
Potato
No
Coffee
No
Witch
No
Common Sense / Commonsense
No
Keir / Starmer
Yes
Crypto / Bitcoin
No
Shit / Ass
Yes
Six Seven
No
$190,307 Vol.
Make America Great Again
$6,653 Vol.
Yes
Epic Fury
$3,231 Vol.
Yes
South Korea
$56,008 Vol.
Yes
Pam / Bondi
$5,530 Vol.
No
Lee / Zeldin
$496 Vol.
No
Moon
$20,944 Vol.
Yes
Stone Age
$910 Vol.
Yes
Boots on the ground
$1,469 Vol.
No
Delcy / Rodriguez
$2,883 Vol.
No
Kharg Island
$1,387 Vol.
No
Predict / Prediction / Predicted
$5,226 Vol.
Yes
Czar
$4,554 Vol.
Yes
King Charles
$7,077 Vol.
No
Paper Tiger
$2,586 Vol.
Yes
Two weeks
$10,038 Vol.
No
Tube
$3,556 Vol.
No
Potato
$956 Vol.
No
Coffee
$1,344 Vol.
No
Witch
$7,754 Vol.
No
Common Sense / Commonsense
$5,047 Vol.
No
Keir / Starmer
$8,105 Vol.
Yes
Crypto / Bitcoin
$5,994 Vol.
No
Shit / Ass
$14,650 Vol.
Yes
Six Seven
$13,908 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's April 12 announcement of a U.S. Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following collapsed peace talks with Iran in Pakistan, dominates trader consensus after the market period ended at 11:59 PM ET on April 12. This escalation from an earlier two-week ceasefire agreed around April 7 underscores ongoing tensions over Iran's nuclear program and Strait access, prompting frequent White House press conferences laced with threats to infrastructure but no mentions of quirky terms like "two weeks," "crypto/Bitcoin," "witch," or "Kharg Island." Low Yes prices across outcomes reflect verified transcripts showing standard foreign policy rhetoric amid diplomatic deadlines and ally coordination, with resolution pending official sources. No scheduled events noted post-period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Volume
$190,307End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's April 12 announcement of a U.S. Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following collapsed peace talks with Iran in Pakistan, dominates trader consensus after the market period ended at 11:59 PM ET on April 12. This escalation from an earlier two-week ceasefire agreed around April 7 underscores ongoing tensions over Iran's nuclear program and Strait access, prompting frequent White House press conferences laced with threats to infrastructure but no mentions of quirky terms like "two weeks," "crypto/Bitcoin," "witch," or "Kharg Island." Low Yes prices across outcomes reflect verified transcripts showing standard foreign policy rhetoric amid diplomatic deadlines and ally coordination, with resolution pending official sources. No scheduled events noted post-period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$190,307End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Trump's April 12 announcement of a U.S. Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following collapsed peace talks with Iran in Pakistan, dominates trader consensus after the market period ended at 11:59 PM ET on April 12. This escalation from an earlier two-week ceasefire agreed around April 7 underscores ongoing tensions over Iran's nuclear program and Strait access, prompting frequent White House press conferences laced with threats to infrastructure but no mentions of quirky terms like "two weeks," "crypto/Bitcoin," "witch," or "Kharg Island." Low Yes prices across outcomes reflect verified transcripts showing standard foreign policy rhetoric amid diplomatic deadlines and ally coordination, with resolution pending official sources. No scheduled events noted post-period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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