Democrats predictions & odds

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2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

24%

Democrats 6-8%

$30.7K Vol.

$54.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

28%

$216 Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

65%

$3.2K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

48%

$23.2K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

87%

$31.5K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

88%

Democrats (D)

$175K Vol.

$65.1K Liq.

3

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$857K Liq.

63

Ends in over 2 years

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

95%

Moderates

$67.1K Vol.

$55.3K Liq.

9

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

97%

Scottish National Party

$2M Vol.

$80.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 23 days

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

81%

Plaid Cymru

$30.6K Vol.

$45.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 23 days

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Ohio Senate Election Winner

60%

Democrat

$67.6K Vol.

$55.1K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Montana Senate Election Winner

Montana Senate Election Winner

81%

Republican

$61.2K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

71%

Republican

$96.7K Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Idaho Senate Election Winner

92%

Republican

$11.8K Vol.

$42.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Wyoming Governor Election Winner

Wyoming Governor Election Winner

93%

Republican

$5.8K Vol.

$35.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

95%

Democrat

$18.6K Vol.

$50.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

86%

Democrat

$19.4K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Vermont Governor Election Winner

79%

Republican

$12.0K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Michigan Governor Election Winner

67%

Democrat

$173K Vol.

$54.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

86%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$113K Liq.

7

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 254 active markets for Democrats that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Blue tsunami in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 61% chance to Democratic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Democrats predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.