5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

36%

$290K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

21%

$144K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

29%

$198K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

76%

<3

$9.8K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

5%

$7.0K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

4%

$104K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

54%

20-24

$9.8K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

MegaETH FDV above ___ one day after launch?

MegaETH FDV above ___ one day after launch?

77%

$500M

$577 Vol.

$43.8K Liq.

1

Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?

42%

Anthropic

$2.2K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Valantis FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Valantis FDV above ___ one day after launch?

70%

$20M

$278 Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

62%

60-79

$1.6K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

45%

April 21

$439K Vol.

$119K today

$65.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 7 days

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

86%

Nothing

$17.0K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

84%

10

$144K Vol.

$83.7K Liq.

25

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

15%

Oil Sanction Relief

$313K Vol.

$95.7K today

$70.8K Liq.

14

Ends in 16 days

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$288 Liq.

Ends in about 24 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

Ends in about 24 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 13?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 13?

80%

Up

$1.8K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Astroid.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Astroid that lets you track or trade on predictions like “5kt meteor strike in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 45% chance to April 21. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Astroid predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.